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Spartaks Jurmala 2 vs Tukums 2000

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1. Liga 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartaks Jurmala 2 play Tukums 2000 in the 1. Liga 2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, Spartaks Jurmala 2 averaged 1.85 goals scored and 2.73 conceded. Tukums 2000 averaged 1.58 goals scored and 2.16 conceded. In past meetings, Spartaks Jurmala 2 won 2, Tukums 2000 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 27, 2012 ended 7:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Spartaks Jurmala 2 and 1.80 for Tukums 2000. This points to a Spartaks Jurmala 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Spartaks Jurmala 2
30%
Draws
24%
Tukums 2000
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spartaks Jurmala 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Spartaks Jurmala 2 picked up more points recently compared to Tukums 2000.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.80 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80%
Spartaks Jurmala 2 Clean Sheet 11%
Tukums 2000 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 84%
Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartaks Jurmala 2 Tukums 2000
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 7 4
Draws 5 12
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.85 1.58
Goals Conceded 2.73 2.16

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2012 Nakotnes liga
Spartaks Jurmala 2 vs Tukums 2000
7:1
Jul 28, 2012 Nakotnes liga
Tukums 2000 vs Spartaks Jurmala 2
2:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartaks Jurmala 2 44 / 100
Tukums 2000 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartaks Jurmala 2 Tukums 2000

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Spartaks Jurmala 2 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Spartaks Jurmala 2 attacking → ← attacking Tukums 2000

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartaks Jurmala 2 scored in 81% of their last 26 games.

Tukums 2000 let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 7.50 goals.

Spartaks Jurmala 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Tukums 2000 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 24
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Liepajas Metalurgs 225214092:2067
2FK Ilukste26183587:3857
3Skonto 226175456:3256
4BFC Daugavpils26157449:2052
5RFS26163762:3351
6Ventspils 226153857:3748
7FK 1625 Liepaja26117847:4540
8Valmiera26831539:5327
9Spartaks Jurmala 226751448:7126
10Rezekne25811649:5725
11FK Metta 226731633:5224
12FK Auda Riga26631736:5121
13Tukums 200026412128:11613
14Jelgava 226322129:8711