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Stadium Background

Spartaks Jurmala vs FK Liepaja

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Optibet Virsliga 2022 Slokas Stadions
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Match Events

28' Event
Alpens M.
Assist: Asamoah K.
36'
Strumia L.
38'
Alpens M.

AI Match Summary

The Optibet Virsliga 2022 game between Spartaks Jurmala and FK Liepaja finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Liepaja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Spartaks Jurmala
17%
Draws
13%
FK Liepaja
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Spartaks Jurmala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Liepaja carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Spartaks Jurmala a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FK Liepaja have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Spartaks Jurmala Clean Sheet 19%
FK Liepaja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartaks Jurmala FK Liepaja
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 14
Draws 3 5
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2022 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs Spartaks Jurmala
5:2
Aug 14, 2022 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs FK Liepaja
2:3
May 10, 2022 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs Spartaks Jurmala
0:0
Apr 1, 2022 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs FK Liepaja
0:2
Nov 6, 2021 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs FK Liepaja
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartaks Jurmala Compare

Top Goalscorer Alpens M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Asamoah K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

FK Liepaja Compare

Top Goalscorer Belakovic N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hreljic K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartaks Jurmala 67 / 100
FK Liepaja 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartaks Jurmala FK Liepaja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Liepaja let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Spartaks Jurmala has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Spartaks Jurmala's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS FK Liepaja
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Valmiera362673101:2585
2Riga FC36263768:2381
3RFS362210483:3276
4FK Liepaja36217872:4270
5FK Auda Riga361561542:3651
6Tukums 2000361152038:6938
7BFC Daugavpils36972030:6734
8Spartaks Jurmala36942337:7531
9FK Metta36572441:8622
10Super Nova36482424:8120