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Spartaks Jurmala vs Olimps Riga

Latvia Latvia

Virslīga 2011
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Spartaks Jurmala advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Spartaks Jurmala
15%
Draws
0%
Olimps Riga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartaks Jurmala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spartaks Jurmala come out ahead of Olimps Riga on wins alone.
  • Spartaks Jurmala are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Spartaks Jurmala have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Spartaks Jurmala, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Spartaks Jurmala Clean Sheet 13%
Olimps Riga Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartaks Jurmala Olimps Riga
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 1
Draws 3 3
Losses 18 26
Goals Scored 1.19 0.63
Goals Conceded 2 3.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2011 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs Olimps Riga
2:0
Nov 10, 2011 Virsliga
Olimps Riga vs Spartaks Jurmala
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartaks Jurmala 84 / 100
Olimps Riga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartaks Jurmala Olimps Riga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartaks Jurmala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimps Riga has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Spartaks Jurmala went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Olimps Riga registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Spartaks Jurmala's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Spartaks Jurmala VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartaks Jurmala

(Home)
12 Nov
Tukums 2000
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
06 Nov
FK Auda Riga
0 : 1
Spartaks Jurmala
29 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
2 : 0
FK Metta
22 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 1
Spartaks Jurmala
16 Oct
Super Nova
1 : 3
Spartaks Jurmala
Page 1 of 7

Olimps Riga

(Away)
13 Nov
Spartaks Jurmala
2 : 0
Olimps Riga
10 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
05 Nov
Olimps Riga
1 : 3
Jelgava
30 Oct
FC Jurmala
6 : 1
Olimps Riga
15 Oct
FK Daugava Riga
4 : 0
Olimps Riga
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Olimps Riga 1
Spartaks Jurmala 4