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Spartaks Jurmala vs Super Nova Prediction & H2H Stats

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Optibet Virsliga 2022 Slokas Stadions, Jūrmala
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Match Events

4' Event
Regza M.
18' Event
Gaucho L.
Assist: Solovjovs A.
21'
Semjonovs I.

AI Match Summary

Super Nova in this Optibet Virsliga 2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Super Nova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Spartaks Jurmala
20%
Draws
28%
Super Nova
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spartaks Jurmala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Spartaks Jurmala haven't matched Super Nova's recent run of results.
  • Spartaks Jurmala are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Spartaks Jurmala Clean Sheet 20%
Super Nova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartaks Jurmala Super Nova
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 9 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2022 Virsliga
Super Nova vs Spartaks Jurmala
1:3
Jul 30, 2022 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs Super Nova
2:3
May 18, 2022 Virsliga
Super Nova vs Spartaks Jurmala
0:3
Apr 11, 2022 Virsliga
Spartaks Jurmala vs Super Nova
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartaks Jurmala Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaucho L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Super Nova Compare

Top Goalscorer Regza M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Atars K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartaks Jurmala 58 / 100
Super Nova 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartaks Jurmala Super Nova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartaks Jurmala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartaks Jurmala has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Spartaks Jurmala found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Super Nova conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Super Nova
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartaks Jurmala

(Home)
12 Nov
Tukums 2000
1 : 2
Spartaks Jurmala
06 Nov
FK Auda Riga
0 : 1
Spartaks Jurmala
29 Oct
Spartaks Jurmala
2 : 0
FK Metta
22 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 1
Spartaks Jurmala
16 Oct
Super Nova
1 : 3
Spartaks Jurmala
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Super Nova

(Away)
20 Sept
Ogre United
1 : 0
Super Nova
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1
Riga FC
10 Sept
Super Nova
1 : 0
Tukums 2000
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
29 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
Super Nova
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 36 26 7 3 101:25 85
2 Riga FC 36 26 3 7 68:23 81
3 RFS 36 22 10 4 83:32 76
4 FK Liepaja 36 21 7 8 72:42 70
5 FK Auda Riga 36 15 6 15 42:36 51
6 Tukums 2000 36 11 5 20 38:69 38
7 BFC Daugavpils 36 9 7 20 30:67 34
8 Spartaks Jurmala 36 9 4 23 37:75 31
9 FK Metta 36 5 7 24 41:86 22
10 Super Nova 36 4 8 24 24:81 20
Promotion - Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - Optibet Virsliga 2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2023 (Main)