Sport Picks

Scotland

League Cup Ainslie Park, Edinburgh

Spartans

1 - 2

Arbroath

Our Tip

Match Events

Sub

Trialist In: Trialist B.

Out: Trialist

31'

Ross M.

39'

Winter A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Spartans

20%

Draws

40%

Arbroath

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence

Spartans's 1.61 goals per match outpaces what Arbroath have produced (1).
Model gives Spartans a 40% chance of winning this.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Arbroath, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 3 times recently and Spartans have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Spartans Clean Sheet 68%

Arbroath Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Spartans	Arbroath
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	9	9
Draws	10	9
Losses	9	11
Goals Scored	1.61	1
Goals Conceded	1.57	1.17
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 League Cup

Spartans vs Arbroath

1:2

Nov 25, 2023 Scottish Cup

Spartans vs Arbroath

2:1

Jan 10, 2004 Scottish Cup

Arbroath vs Spartans

1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartans Compare

Top Goalscorer Whyte B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Arbroath Compare

Top Goalscorer Winter A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Flynn R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.08

Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartans 50 / 100

Arbroath 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Spartans Arbroath

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartans Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 5:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Spartans scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Arbroath has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Spartans has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Spartans VS Arbroath

2.13 Goals Scored 0.5

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 50%

75% Over 2.5 25%

75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartans

(Home)

22 Sept

Gala Fairydean Rovers

0 : 0

Spartans

19 Sept

Dumbarton

3 : 0

Spartans

12 Sept

Spartans

5 : 1

Forfar Athletic

08 Sept

Spartans

0 : 4

Hamilton

05 Sept

Stirling

0 : 2

Spartans

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Arbroath

(Away)

19 Sept

Stenhousemuir

1 : 0

Arbroath

12 Sept

Raith

4 : 0

Arbroath

05 Sept

Arbroath

1 : 1

Dunfermline

29 Aug

Arbroath

1 : 0

Livingston

22 Aug

Morton

1 : 2

Arbroath

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