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Spartans vs Arbroath

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Ainslie Park
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Trialist
Out: Trialist
31'
39' Event
Winter A.

AI Match Summary

The League Cup game between Spartans and Arbroath finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arbroath.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Spartans
22%
Draws
60%
Arbroath
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Arbroath

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Spartans demonstrates higher offensive output (0.88 avg goals) than Arbroath (0.75 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Arbroath.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in League Cup provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Spartans Clean Sheet 20%
Arbroath Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartans Arbroath
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 0.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2023 Scottish Cup
Spartans vs Arbroath
2:1
Jan 10, 2004 Scottish Cup
Arbroath vs Spartans
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartans Compare

Top Goalscorer Whyte B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Arbroath Compare

Top Goalscorer Winter A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartans 20 / 100
Arbroath 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartans Arbroath

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartans scored in 89% of their last 27 games.

Arbroath let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Spartans went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Arbroath lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartans VS Arbroath
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Queen of the South00000:00
2Queen's Park00000:00
3Brora Rangers00000:00
4Aberdeen00000:00
5Kelty Hearts00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dundee Utd00000:00
2Stirling00000:00
3Arbroath00000:00
4Montrose00000:00
5Spartans00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Mirren00000:00
2Dumbarton00000:00
3Cove Rangers00000:00
4Dunfermline00000:00
5East Kilbride00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Clyde00000:00
2Dundee FC00000:00
3Airdrieonians00000:00
4Ross County00000:00
5Annan00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Livingston00000:00
2Partick00000:00
3Brechin00000:00
4Forfar Athletic00000:00
5Stenhousemuir00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inverness00000:00
2Morton00000:00
3St Johnstone00000:00
4East Fife00000:00
5Linlithgow Rose00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Falkirk00000:00
2Alloa00000:00
3Ayr00000:00
4Stranraer00000:00
5Edinburgh City00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kilmarnock00000:00
2Hamilton00000:00
3Peterhead00000:00
4Raith00000:00
5Elgin City00000:00