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Spartans vs Forfar Athletic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League Two Ainslie Park, Edinburgh
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Stowe M.
Assist: McNulty M.
36'
Tapping J.
41' Event
Russell C.
Assist: McNulty M.

AI Match Summary

Spartans in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartans.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Spartans
15%
Draws
48%
Forfar Athletic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Forfar Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Forfar Athletic have won more games recently than Spartans.
  • Spartans are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Spartans Clean Sheet 18%
Forfar Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartans Forfar Athletic
Matches Played 27 33
Wins 8 11
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.59 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 League Two
Spartans vs Forfar Athletic
5:1
Mar 21, 2026 League Two
Forfar Athletic vs Spartans
1:1
Mar 17, 2026 League Two
Spartans vs Forfar Athletic
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 League Two
Forfar Athletic vs Spartans
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 League Two
Spartans vs Forfar Athletic
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartans Compare

Top Goalscorer Stowe M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Russell C.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Forfar Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Perrie L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartans 85 / 100
Forfar Athletic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartans Forfar Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartans Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Spartans scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Forfar Athletic let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Spartans went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartans VS Forfar Athletic
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartans

(Home)
03 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2
Kelty Hearts
25 Sept
Spartans
1 : 0
Dundee FC B
22 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 0
Spartans
19 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 0
Spartans
12 Sept
Spartans
5 : 1
Forfar Athletic
Page 1 of 6

Forfar Athletic

(Away)
03 Oct
Dumbarton
2 : 1
Forfar Athletic
29 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 0
Formartine Utd
26 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 1
Dundee Utd B
22 Sept
Forfar Athletic
0 : 2
Peterhead
19 Sept
Forfar Athletic
1 : 0
Annan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stranraer 9 5 2 2 17:8 17
2 Clyde 9 5 2 2 21:16 17
3 Elgin City 9 4 2 3 25:16 14
4 Spartans 9 3 3 3 19:17 12
5 Kelty Hearts 9 4 0 5 13:18 12
6 Dumbarton 9 4 0 5 10:15 12
7 Forfar Athletic 9 3 2 4 9:15 11
8 Edinburgh City 9 4 3 2 19:15 10
9 Annan 9 3 0 6 9:11 9
10 Stirling 9 2 2 5 11:22 8
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)