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Spartans vs Hearts B Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Ainslie Park, Edinburgh
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Stowe M.
Assist: Russell C.
27' Event
Stowe M.
Assist: Dall B.
45' Event
Russell C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-0. This leg finished 5-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Spartans
15%
Draws
48%
Hearts B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hearts B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Spartans at 1.57 per game, Hearts B at 1.4.
  • Win probability leans Spartans's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Spartans, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Spartans have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Spartans Clean Sheet 10%
Hearts B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartans Hearts B
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 10 3
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.57 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 3.92 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Challenge Cup
Spartans vs Hearts B
5:0
Jul 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Spartans vs Hearts B
3:2
Dec 7, 2022 Lowland League
Hearts B vs Spartans
0:0
Jul 26, 2022 Lowland League
Spartans vs Hearts B
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartans Compare

Top Goalscorer Stowe M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Russell C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.02
Avg xA / game 1.96

Hearts B Compare

Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartans 83 / 100
Hearts B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartans Hearts B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartans Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hearts B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Spartans scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Spartans stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartans VS Hearts B
2.63 Goals Scored 3
1.63 Goals Conceded 5.2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartans

(Home)
03 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2
Kelty Hearts
25 Sept
Spartans
1 : 0
Dundee FC B
22 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 0
Spartans
19 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 0
Spartans
12 Sept
Spartans
5 : 1
Forfar Athletic
Page 1 of 6

Hearts B

(Away)
26 Sept
Ross County
14 : 0
Hearts B
22 Sept
Kelty Hearts
3 : 5
Hearts B
08 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 6
Hearts B
25 Aug
Spartans
5 : 0
Hearts B
11 Aug
Berwick
3 : 4
Hearts B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Ross County 5 4 0 1 28:6 12
3 Airdrieonians 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
4 Elgin City 5 4 0 1 14:2 12
5 Cove Rangers 5 4 0 1 17:6 12
6 Peterhead 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
7 Alloa 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
8 Queen of the South 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
9 East Kilbride 5 3 1 1 17:12 10
10 Stirling 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
11 Edinburgh City 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
12 St. Mirren B 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
13 Hamilton 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
14 Montrose 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
15 Celtic B 5 2 3 0 15:12 9
16 Formartine Utd 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
17 Kelty Hearts 5 3 0 2 14:13 9
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
19 Hearts B 5 3 0 2 15:26 9
20 Annan 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
21 Spartans 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
22 Aberdeen B 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
23 East Fife 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
24 Forfar Athletic 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
25 Berwick 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
26 Dumbarton 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
27 Stranraer 5 2 0 3 13:12 6
28 Rangers B 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
29 Clachnacuddin 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
30 Kilmarnock B 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
31 Banks O' Dee 5 1 1 3 6:14 4
32 Fraserburgh 5 1 1 3 5:18 4
33 Clyde 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
34 Dundee Utd B 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
35 Cumbernauld Colts 5 0 2 3 4:13 2
36 Gala Fairydean Rovers 5 0 2 3 3:15 2
37 Cowdenbeath 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
38 Dundee FC B 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
39 Hibernian B 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
40 Motherwell B 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)