Sport Picks
Spartans vs Kelty Hearts - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
League Two Ainslie Park, Edinburgh 
Match Events
8'
8'
Dishington J.
18'
18'
Dishington J.
Own Goal
45'
45'
Ferguson A.
AI Match Summary
Kelty Hearts in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kelty Hearts.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartans
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Spartans haven't matched Kelty Hearts's recent run of results.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Kelty Hearts have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Spartans Clean Sheet 13%
Kelty Hearts Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spartans | Kelty Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 League Two
Spartans vs Kelty Hearts
0:2
Feb 9, 2021 Lowland League
Kelty Hearts vs Spartans
0:0
Dec 15, 2020 Lowland League
Spartans vs Kelty Hearts
0:4
Feb 15, 2020 Lowland League
Spartans vs Kelty Hearts
0:1
Aug 27, 2019 Lowland League
Kelty Hearts vs Spartans
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spartans Compare
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Kelty Hearts Compare
Top Goalscorer Hislop J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spartans 35 / 100
Kelty Hearts 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spartans Kelty Hearts
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kelty Hearts Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kelty Hearts let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.
Spartans scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Spartans has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Spartans VS Kelty Hearts
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Spartans
(Home) 03 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2 Kelty Hearts
25 Sept
Spartans
1 : 0 Dundee FC B
22 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 0 Spartans
19 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 0 Spartans
12 Sept
Spartans
5 : 1 Forfar Athletic
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2 Kelty Hearts
25 Sept
Spartans
1 : 0 Dundee FC B
12 Sept
Spartans
5 : 1 Forfar Athletic
08 Sept
Spartans
0 : 4 Hamilton
29 Aug
Spartans
3 : 3 Clyde
Page 1 of 3
Kelty Hearts
(Away) 03 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2 Kelty Hearts
26 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1 Montrose
22 Sept
Kelty Hearts
3 : 5 Hearts B
19 Sept
Kelty Hearts
1 : 3 Edinburgh City
12 Sept
Clyde
4 : 1 Kelty Hearts
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Spartans
0 : 2 Kelty Hearts
12 Sept
Clyde
4 : 1 Kelty Hearts
08 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
0 : 3 Kelty Hearts
29 Aug
Stranraer
2 : 0 Kelty Hearts
15 Aug
Elgin City
4 : 1 Kelty Hearts
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stranraer | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:8 | 17 |
| 2 | Clyde | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21:16 | 17 |
| 3 | Elgin City | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 25:16 | 14 |
| 4 | Spartans | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19:17 | 12 |
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13:18 | 12 |
| 6 | Dumbarton | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10:15 | 12 |
| 7 | Forfar Athletic | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 11 |
| 8 | Edinburgh City | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 19:15 | 10 |
| 9 | Annan | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 10 | Stirling | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:22 | 8 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)
