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Spartax vs Atletico Cajazeirense Prediction & H2H Stats

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Paraibano 2 2025
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AI Match Summary

The Paraibano 2 2025 game between Spartax and Atletico Cajazeirense finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Cajazeirense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Spartax
35%
Draws
26%
Atletico Cajazeirense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Spartax

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico Cajazeirense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Spartax's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Spartax Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Cajazeirense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartax Atletico Cajazeirense
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 9 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.59 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2025 Paraibano 2
Spartax vs Atletico Cajazeirense
1:2
Sep 17, 2023 Paraibano 2
Spartax vs Atletico Cajazeirense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartax 58 / 100
Atletico Cajazeirense 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartax Atletico Cajazeirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartax Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartax scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Atletico Cajazeirense conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Spartax remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Spartax VS Atletico Cajazeirense
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartax

(Home)
26 Sept
Femar
1 : 1
Spartax
23 Sept
Sao Paulo Crystal
4 : 3
Spartax
20 Sept
Spartax
2 : 2
Auto Esporte
17 Sept
Spartax
1 : 1
Serrano PB
13 Sept
Picuiense
0 : 1
Spartax
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Atletico Cajazeirense

(Away)
22 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
0 : 2
Confianca PB
14 Feb
Pombal
1 : 1
Atletico Cajazeirense
11 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
07 Feb
Sousa
2 : 1
Atletico Cajazeirense
01 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
1 : 0
Nacional PB
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Cajazeirense 9 6 1 2 23:10 19
2 Cruzeiro-PB 9 5 2 2 15:13 17
3 Confianca PB 9 4 4 1 13:7 16
4 Miramar EC 9 4 3 2 20:8 15
5 Desportiva Guarabira 9 4 3 2 14:11 15
6 Sao Paulo Crystal 9 4 2 3 15:8 14
7 Serrano PB 9 3 2 4 15:15 11
8 Spartax 9 2 2 5 15:23 8
9 Queimadense 9 2 1 6 9:19 7
10 Sabugy 9 1 0 8 6:31 3
Promotion - Paraibano 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paraibano 2 2025 (Play Offs)