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Spartax vs Picuiense

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Picuiense advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Spartax
15%
Draws
0%
Picuiense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartax

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Picuiense haven't matched Spartax's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Spartax's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Spartax have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Picuiense, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Picuiense here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Spartax Clean Sheet 17%
Picuiense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartax Picuiense
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.41 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2024 Paraibano 2
Spartax vs Picuiense
1:2
Sep 12, 2024 Paraibano 2
Spartax vs Picuiense
0:1
Sep 21, 2023 Paraibano 2
Spartax vs Picuiense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartax 84 / 100
Picuiense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartax Picuiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartax Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Picuiense has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Spartax found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Picuiense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Spartax VS Picuiense
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartax

(Home)
21 Sept
Serrano PB
5 : 1
Spartax
17 Sept
Spartax
3 : 1
Sabugy
14 Sept
Spartax
0 : 3
Sao Paulo Crystal
11 Sept
Cruzeiro-PB
2 : 0
Spartax
08 Sept
Spartax
4 : 2
Queimadense
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Picuiense

(Away)
19 Feb
Picuiense
0 : 5
EC de Patos
15 Feb
Botafogo PB
3 : 0
Picuiense
12 Feb
Picuiense
2 : 6
Treze PB
09 Feb
Picuiense
1 : 2
Auto Esporte
03 Feb
Serra Branca
8 : 0
Picuiense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Spartax 1
Picuiense 2
Auto Esporte -
TBD -
Queimadense 2
Cruzeiro-PB 4
EC de Patos -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Picuiense 0
Auto Esporte 4
Cruzeiro-PB 2
EC de Patos 3
Final
Auto Esporte 1
EC de Patos 0