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Spennymoor vs Darlington FC

England England

National League North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Howells M.
55' Event
Main C.
(Penalty)
60' Event
Main C.

AI Match Summary

The National League North 2025/2026 game between Spennymoor and Darlington FC finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Darlington FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Spennymoor
39%
Draws
30%
Darlington FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Darlington FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular National League North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Spennymoor Clean Sheet 20%
Darlington FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spennymoor Darlington FC
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 National League North
Spennymoor vs Darlington FC
0:4
Nov 22, 2025 National League North
Darlington FC vs Spennymoor
1:0
Mar 4, 2025 National League North
Spennymoor vs Darlington FC
2:1
Aug 31, 2024 National League North
Darlington FC vs Spennymoor
1:0
Mar 9, 2024 National League North
Spennymoor vs Darlington FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spennymoor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Darlington FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Howells M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Main C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spennymoor 32 / 100
Darlington FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spennymoor Darlington FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Spennymoor scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Darlington FC let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Spennymoor has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Spennymoor VS Darlington FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AFC Fylde4632410112:51100
2South Shields462811799:4395
3Kidderminster462512974:5187
4Macclesfield462471581:6879
5Buxton462271783:6173
6Scarborough Athletic4619161161:5273
7Chester4620131366:6473
8Merthyr Town462242095:8670
9Darlington FC462091778:6869
10Spennymoor4619111662:6968
11Telford4617141585:6565
12Marine461882062:7262
13Radcliffe461862276:8360
14Southport4616121864:7160
15Chorley4615121966:6557
16Worksop461692166:7457
17Oxford City4615112062:6756
18Bedford4613141966:7753
19King’s Lynn4612161856:6452
20Hereford4614102264:7952
21Curzon Ashton4613132067:8852
22Alfreton4612142049:8250
23Peterborough Sports461092751:9639
24Leamington46783141:9029