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Spennymoor vs Gateshead

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spennymoor in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spennymoor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Spennymoor
30%
Draws
12%
Gateshead
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spennymoor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spennymoor lately — more wins on the board than Gateshead.
  • Spennymoor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gateshead have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Spennymoor Clean Sheet 17%
Gateshead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spennymoor Gateshead
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.28 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Spennymoor vs Gateshead
2:1
Jul 29, 2025 Club Friendly
Spennymoor vs Gateshead
1:3
Jul 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Spennymoor vs Gateshead
0:4
Feb 19, 2022 National League North
Gateshead vs Spennymoor
2:1
Nov 20, 2021 National League North
Spennymoor vs Gateshead
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spennymoor 84 / 100
Gateshead 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spennymoor Gateshead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spennymoor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Spennymoor's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Gateshead has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Spennymoor has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Spennymoor VS Gateshead
1 Goals Scored 0.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spennymoor

(Home)
19 Sept
AFC Emley
0 : 4
Spennymoor
12 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 1
Macclesfield
08 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 3
Spalding United
05 Sept
Hereford
2 : 1
Spennymoor
31 Aug
Spennymoor
1 : 1
Hednesford
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Gateshead

(Away)
19 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 6
Southend
16 Sept
Kidderminster
1 : 0
Gateshead
12 Sept
Forest Green
4 : 0
Gateshead
08 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 3
Derby U21
05 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 1
Solihull Moors
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