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Spennymoor vs Macclesfield

England England

National League North The Brewery Field, Spennymoor
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Shrimpton F.
79'
Borthwick-Jackson C.
79'
Borthwick-Jackson C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Spennymoor
35%
Draws
52%
Macclesfield
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Macclesfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Macclesfield have won more games recently than Spennymoor.
  • Win probability leans Macclesfield's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Spennymoor Clean Sheet 10%
Macclesfield Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spennymoor Macclesfield
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 10 19
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.21 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 National League North
Spennymoor vs Macclesfield
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 National League North
Macclesfield vs Spennymoor
0:2
Aug 25, 2025 National League North
Spennymoor vs Macclesfield
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spennymoor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Macclesfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Shrimpton F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spennymoor 14 / 100
Macclesfield 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spennymoor Macclesfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Macclesfield Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spennymoor scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Macclesfield let in goals in 74% of their last 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.33 goals per match.

Solid form: Spennymoor remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Spennymoor VS Macclesfield
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Spennymoor

(Home)
12 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 1
Macclesfield
08 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 3
Spalding United
05 Sept
Hereford
2 : 1
Spennymoor
31 Aug
Spennymoor
1 : 1
Hednesford
29 Aug
Bedford
3 : 1
Spennymoor
Page 1 of 6

Macclesfield

(Away)
12 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 1
Macclesfield
08 Sept
Macclesfield
0 : 0
Scarborough Athletic
05 Sept
Merthyr Town
2 : 1
Macclesfield
31 Aug
Macclesfield
3 : 0
Hebburn Town
29 Aug
Darlington FC
1 : 2
Macclesfield
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 9 7 1 1 21:4 22
2 Oxford City 9 6 1 2 17:6 19
3 Macclesfield 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
4 Spalding United 9 5 2 2 13:6 17
5 Hebburn Town 9 5 2 2 15:15 17
6 South Shields 8 5 2 1 9:10 17
7 Buxton 9 5 1 3 18:14 16
8 Bedford 9 5 0 4 13:13 15
9 Chester 9 4 2 3 9:8 14
10 Morecambe 9 4 1 4 13:8 13
11 Merthyr Town 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
12 King’s Lynn 9 4 1 4 15:15 13
13 Harborough 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
14 Worksop 9 4 0 5 9:12 12
15 Scarborough Athletic 9 3 2 4 14:11 11
16 Chorley 9 3 2 4 14:16 11
17 Marine 9 3 0 6 10:11 9
18 Telford 9 2 3 4 8:10 9
19 Hednesford 9 2 3 4 13:16 9
20 Southport 9 2 2 5 11:18 8
21 Brackley 8 2 2 4 7:16 8
22 Radcliffe 9 2 0 7 8:16 6
23 Darlington FC 9 2 0 7 11:20 6
24 Spennymoor 9 1 3 5 9:19 6
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)