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Spennymoor vs Spalding United

England England

National League North The Brewery Field, Spennymoor
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Bennett R.
64' Event
Cybulski B.
86' Event
Cybulski B.

AI Match Summary

Spalding United in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spalding United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Spennymoor
30%
Draws
61%
Spalding United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spalding United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Spennymoor haven't matched Spalding United's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Spalding United's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Spennymoor Clean Sheet 11%
Spalding United Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spennymoor Spalding United
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.18 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 National League North
Spennymoor vs Spalding United
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spennymoor Compare

Top Goalscorer Bennett R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Spalding United Compare

Top Goalscorer Cybulski B.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spennymoor 10 / 100
Spalding United 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spennymoor Spalding United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spalding United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Spennymoor scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Spalding United let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Spennymoor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spennymoor VS Spalding United
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spennymoor

(Home)
12 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 1
Macclesfield
08 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 3
Spalding United
05 Sept
Hereford
2 : 1
Spennymoor
31 Aug
Spennymoor
1 : 1
Hednesford
29 Aug
Bedford
3 : 1
Spennymoor
Page 1 of 6

Spalding United

(Away)
12 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 1
Bedford
08 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 3
Spalding United
05 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0
Southport
31 Aug
South Shields
1 : 1
Spalding United
29 Aug
Spalding United
3 : 1
Worksop
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 9 7 1 1 21:4 22
2 Oxford City 9 6 1 2 17:6 19
3 Macclesfield 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
4 Spalding United 9 5 2 2 13:6 17
5 Hebburn Town 9 5 2 2 15:15 17
6 South Shields 8 5 2 1 9:10 17
7 Buxton 9 5 1 3 18:14 16
8 Bedford 9 5 0 4 13:13 15
9 Chester 9 4 2 3 9:8 14
10 Morecambe 9 4 1 4 13:8 13
11 Merthyr Town 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
12 King’s Lynn 9 4 1 4 15:15 13
13 Harborough 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
14 Worksop 9 4 0 5 9:12 12
15 Scarborough Athletic 9 3 2 4 14:11 11
16 Chorley 9 3 2 4 14:16 11
17 Marine 9 3 0 6 10:11 9
18 Telford 9 2 3 4 8:10 9
19 Hednesford 9 2 3 4 13:16 9
20 Southport 9 2 2 5 11:18 8
21 Brackley 8 2 2 4 7:16 8
22 Radcliffe 9 2 0 7 8:16 6
23 Darlington FC 9 2 0 7 11:20 6
24 Spennymoor 9 1 3 5 9:19 6
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)