Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Liga 1 2023/2024 game between Speranis and Falesti finished 4-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
68%
15%
17%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Speranis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Speranis come out ahead of Falesti on wins alone.
- Model gives Speranis a 68% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Speranis Clean Sheet 19%
Falesti Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Speranis | Falesti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 38 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 15 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 2.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.23 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 23, 2024 Liga 1
Speranis vs Falesti
2:3
Oct 5, 2024 Liga 1
Falesti vs Speranis
3:0
Aug 23, 2024 Liga 1
Speranis vs Falesti
1:2
Mar 30, 2024 Liga 1
Speranis vs Falesti
1:0
Dec 16, 2023 Liga 1
Speranis vs Falesti
4:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Speranis 85 / 100
Falesti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Speranis Falesti
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Speranis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Speranis scored in 74% of their last 34 games.
Falesti's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 38 matches.
Solid form: Speranis remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Falesti
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 3.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Speranis
(Home) 28 May
Saksan
4 : 0 Speranis
21 May
Victoria
0 : 2 Speranis
17 May
Stauceni
0 : 1 Speranis
07 May
Speranis
3 : 1 Olimp Comrat
26 Apr
Vulturii Cutezatori
0 : 2 Speranis
Page 1 of 7
07 May
Speranis
3 : 1 Olimp Comrat
18 Apr
Speranis
1 : 0 Sheriff Tiraspol 2
04 Apr
Speranis
5 : 2 Olimp Comrat
15 Mar
Speranis
2 : 1 Speranta Drochia
07 Dec
Speranis
1 : 2 Saksan
Page 1 of 4
Falesti
(Away) 19 Sept
Falesti
0 : 2 Oguzsport
12 Sept
Victoria
2 : 1 Falesti
01 Sept
Victoria
5 : 3 Falesti
29 Aug
Falesti
1 : 2 Stauceni
22 Aug
National Ialoveni
0 : 1 Falesti
Page 1 of 8
12 Sept
Victoria
2 : 1 Falesti
01 Sept
Victoria
5 : 3 Falesti
22 Aug
National Ialoveni
0 : 1 Falesti
14 Aug
Oguzsport
0 : 0 Falesti
16 May
Sparta Selemet
3 : 0 Falesti
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victoria | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 46:17 | 34 |
| 2 | Sheriff Tiraspol 2 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 38:10 | 32 |
| 3 | Speranta Drochia | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 14:15 | 21 |
| 4 | Iskra Ribnita | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:32 | 21 |
| 5 | FCM Ungheni | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 38:30 | 20 |
| 6 | Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol | 15 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6:62 | 1 |
Promotion - Super Liga 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Promotion - Super Liga 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saksan | 15 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 44:14 | 35 |
| 2 | Univer Comrat | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 33:18 | 33 |
| 3 | Speranis | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 26:28 | 19 |
| 4 | Falesti | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 24:32 | 17 |
| 5 | Olimp Comrat | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 19:24 | 17 |
| 6 | Real Succes | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14:44 | 4 |
Promotion - Super Liga 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Promotion - Super Liga 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)
