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Speranis vs Falesti

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2023/2024
Speranis Logo

Speranis

1 - 0
FT
Falesti Logo

Falesti

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Speranis in this Liga 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Speranis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Speranis
15%
Draws
21%
Falesti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Speranis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Speranis lately — more wins on the board than Falesti.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Speranis taking it.
  • Regular Liga 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Speranis Clean Sheet 19%
Falesti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Speranis Falesti
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.27 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2024 Liga 1
Speranis vs Falesti
2:3
Oct 5, 2024 Liga 1
Falesti vs Speranis
3:0
Aug 23, 2024 Liga 1
Speranis vs Falesti
1:2
Mar 30, 2024 Liga 1
Speranis vs Falesti
1:0
Dec 16, 2023 Liga 1
Speranis vs Falesti
4:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Speranis 85 / 100
Falesti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Speranis Falesti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Speranis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Speranis scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Falesti's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Speranis went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Falesti
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 3.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Speranis

(Home)
28 May
Saksan
4 : 0
Speranis
21 May
Victoria
0 : 2
Speranis
17 May
Stauceni
0 : 1
Speranis
07 May
Speranis
3 : 1
Olimp Comrat
26 Apr
Vulturii Cutezatori
0 : 2
Speranis
Page 1 of 6

Falesti

(Away)
12 Sept
Victoria
2 : 1
Falesti
01 Sept
Victoria
5 : 3
Falesti
29 Aug
Falesti
1 : 2
Stauceni
22 Aug
National Ialoveni
0 : 1
Falesti
14 Aug
Oguzsport
0 : 0
Falesti
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheriff Tiraspol 2 7 6 1 0 28:5 19
2 Olimp Comrat 7 5 0 2 17:8 15
3 Speranis 7 4 1 2 10:6 13
4 FCM Ungheni 7 3 2 2 12:15 11
5 Falesti 7 3 1 3 11:17 10
6 Iskra Ribnita 7 3 0 4 10:10 9
7 Real Succes 7 1 1 5 11:17 4
8 Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol 7 0 0 7 0:21 0
Promotion - Super Liga 2023/2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)