Sport Picks

Moldova

Liga 1 2023/2024

Speranta Drochia

2 - 1

FCM Ungheni

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Speranta Drochia in this Liga 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Speranta Drochia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Speranta Drochia

Draws

90%

FCM Ungheni

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FCM Ungheni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

FCM Ungheni have won more games recently than Speranta Drochia.
90% — that's where the model lands on FCM Ungheni taking it.
Regular Liga 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%

Speranta Drochia Clean Sheet 17%

FCM Ungheni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Speranta Drochia	FCM Ungheni
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	4	18
Draws	3	3
Losses	23	12
Goals Scored	0	1.75
Goals Conceded	0	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 Liga 1

Speranta Drochia vs FCM Ungheni

Possession: 40% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

0:3

Nov 23, 2024 Liga 1

Speranta Drochia vs FCM Ungheni

Possession: 41% - 44% Cards: 3 - 1

2:3

Oct 4, 2024 Liga 1

FCM Ungheni vs Speranta Drochia

Possession: 59% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Aug 24, 2024 Liga 1

Speranta Drochia vs FCM Ungheni

Possession: 54% - 59% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Dec 8, 2023 Liga 1

FCM Ungheni vs Speranta Drochia

Possession: 44% - 59% Cards: 0 - 2

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Speranta Drochia 10 / 100

FCM Ungheni 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Speranta Drochia FCM Ungheni

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCM Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FCM Ungheni's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 33 matches.

Speranta Drochia's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

FCM Ungheni lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS FCM Ungheni

0 Goals Scored 1.75

0 Goals Conceded 1.88

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Victoria	15	11	1	3	46:17	34
2	Sheriff Tiraspol 2	15	10	2	3	38:10	32
3	Speranta Drochia	15	6	3	6	14:15	21
4	Iskra Ribnita	15	6	3	6	24:32	21
5	FCM Ungheni	15	6	2	7	38:30	20
6	Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol	15	0	1	14	6:62	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Saksan	15	10	5	0	44:14	35
2	Univer Comrat	15	10	3	2	33:18	33
3	Speranis	15	5	4	6	26:28	19
4	Falesti	15	5	2	8	24:32	17
5	Olimp Comrat	15	4	5	6	19:24	17
6	Real Succes	15	1	1	13	14:44	4