Sport Picks

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Sperice vs Chotebor

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 4. liga - Group D 2025/2026 game between Sperice and Chotebor finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sperice
15%
Draws
51%
Chotebor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chotebor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chotebor come out ahead of Sperice on wins alone.
  • Sperice are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Sperice Clean Sheet 11%
Chotebor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sperice Chotebor
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.87 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 4. liga - Group D
Sperice vs Chotebor
1:1
Sep 7, 2025 4. liga - Group D
Chotebor vs Sperice
1:0
Apr 17, 2022 Vysocina KP
Chotebor vs Sperice
2:1
Aug 29, 2021 Vysocina KP
Sperice vs Chotebor
3:2
Jun 27, 2021 Vysocina KP
Sperice vs Chotebor
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sperice 38 / 100
Chotebor 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sperice Chotebor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chotebor let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Chotebor has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Sperice scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sperice VS Chotebor
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sperice

(Home)
07 Aug
Bystrice nad Pernstejnem
1 : 4
Sperice
13 Jun
Sperice
2 : 2
Slovan Havlickuv Brod
07 Jun
Tasovice
5 : 2
Sperice
31 May
Pelhrimov
3 : 0
Sperice
24 May
Sperice
0 : 2
FS Trebic
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Chotebor

(Away)
08 Aug
FC Kurim
8 : 1
Chotebor
26 Jul
Chotebor
2 : 0
Velke Mezirici
13 Jun
Sparta Brno
2 : 1
Chotebor
06 Jun
Chotebor
1 : 2
Pelhrimov
30 May
Chotebor
1 : 0
FC Kurim
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