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Sperice vs Nova Ves u N.M. na Mor. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Vysocina KP
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sperice host Nova Ves u N.M. na Mor. in the Vysocina KP. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Sperice have averaged 1.61 scored and 1.86 conceded recently, against Nova Ves u N.M. na Mor.'s 2.18 scored and 1.18 conceded. Past meetings favor Sperice slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 14, 2022, ending 0:1. xG projections (2.81 - 1.31) back Nova Ves u N.M. na Mor. to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Sperice
35%
Draws
24%
Nova Ves u N.M. na Mor.
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sperice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nova Ves u N.M. na Mor. come out ahead of Sperice on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sperice a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sperice Clean Sheet 18%
Nova Ves u N.M. na Mor. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sperice Nova Ves u N.M. na Mor.
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 15
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.61 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2022 Vysocina KP
Nova Ves u N.M. na Mor. vs Sperice
0:1
Aug 15, 2021 Vysocina KP
Sperice vs Nova Ves u N.M. na Mor.
5:0
Jun 26, 2021 Vysocina KP
Sperice vs Nova Ves u N.M. na Mor.
0:0
May 2, 2021 Vysocina KP
Nova Ves u N.M. na Mor. vs Sperice
0:0
May 3, 2020 Vysocina KP
Nova Ves u N.M. na Mor. vs Sperice
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sperice 85 / 100
Nova Ves u N.M. na Mor. 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sperice Nova Ves u N.M. na Mor.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sperice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sperice scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Nova Ves u N.M. na Mor.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Sperice stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sperice VS Nova Ves u N.M. na Mor.
3.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sperice

(Home)
03 Oct
Sperice
4 : 1
Okrisky
26 Sept
Zirovnice
0 : 3
Sperice
20 Sept
Sperice
2 : 4
Jemnicko
13 Sept
Stara Rise
1 : 6
Sperice
06 Sept
Sperice
1 : 1
Kamenice nad Lipou
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Nova Ves u N.M. na Mor.

(Away)
03 Oct
Sebkovice
1 : 1
Nova Ves u N.M. na Mor.
19 Sept
Havlickuv Brod B
2 : 3
Nova Ves u N.M. na Mor.
11 Sept
Zdar nad Sazavou B
2 : 1
Nova Ves u N.M. na Mor.
06 Sept
Nova Ves u N.M. na Mor.
1 : 1
Okrisky
29 Aug
Zirovnice
1 : 1
Nova Ves u N.M. na Mor.
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