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Sperice vs Pelhrimov

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 4. liga - Group D 2025/2026 game between Sperice and Pelhrimov finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sperice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sperice
40%
Draws
29%
Pelhrimov
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Sperice haven't matched Pelhrimov's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sperice Clean Sheet 11%
Pelhrimov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sperice Pelhrimov
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 4. liga - Group D
Pelhrimov vs Sperice
3:0
Oct 26, 2025 4. liga - Group D
Sperice vs Pelhrimov
1:0
Apr 28, 2024 4. liga - Group D
Sperice vs Pelhrimov
1:0
Sep 24, 2023 4. liga - Group D
Pelhrimov vs Sperice
2:2
May 29, 2022 Vysocina KP
Sperice vs Pelhrimov
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sperice 30 / 100
Pelhrimov 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sperice Pelhrimov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pelhrimov let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Sperice found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Sperice remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sperice VS Pelhrimov
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sperice

(Home)
13 Jun
Sperice
2 : 2
Slovan Havlickuv Brod
07 Jun
Tasovice
5 : 2
Sperice
31 May
Pelhrimov
3 : 0
Sperice
24 May
Sperice
0 : 2
FS Trebic
16 May
Bohunice
1 : 0
Sperice
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Pelhrimov

(Away)
12 Jun
Pelhrimov
1 : 2
Tasovice
06 Jun
Chotebor
1 : 2
Pelhrimov
31 May
Pelhrimov
3 : 0
Sperice
23 May
FC Kurim
8 : 1
Pelhrimov
17 May
Pelhrimov
5 : 2
FS Trebic
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