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Stadium Background

Spezia U19 vs Crotone U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2025/2026
Spezia U19 Logo

Spezia U19

2 - 1
FT
Crotone U19 Logo

Crotone U19

Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Ferrazza D.
50' Event
Amato S.
73' Event
Adamo A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Spezia U19 in this Primavera 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spezia U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Spezia U19
20%
Draws
10%
Crotone U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spezia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spezia U19 lately — more wins on the board than Crotone U19.
  • Spezia U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Spezia U19 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Spezia U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Crotone U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spezia U19 Crotone U19
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 15 1
Draws 4 11
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.87 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.33 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Crotone U19
2:1
Jan 10, 2026 Primavera 2
Crotone U19 vs Spezia U19
0:0
Sep 8, 2025 Coppa Italia Primavera
Spezia U19 vs Crotone U19
1:0
Feb 22, 2025 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Crotone U19
1:0
Oct 20, 2024 Primavera 2
Crotone U19 vs Spezia U19
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spezia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrazza D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amato S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Crotone U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Adamo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spezia U19 95 / 100
Crotone U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spezia U19 Crotone U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spezia U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crotone U19 has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Spezia U19 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Spezia U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spezia U19 VS Crotone U19
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Spezia U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Pisa U19
0 : 3
Spezia U19
12 Sept
Spezia U19
2 : 3
Palermo U19
05 Sept
Ascoli U19
1 : 1
Spezia U19
09 May
Pisa U19
2 : 1
Spezia U19
02 May
Spezia U19
2 : 1
Ternana U19
Page 1 of 6

Crotone U19

(Away)
09 May
Crotone U19
2 : 2
Catanzaro U19
02 May
Cosenza U19
2 : 0
Crotone U19
25 Apr
Crotone U19
0 : 4
Bari U19
18 Apr
Palermo U19
7 : 1
Crotone U19
11 Apr
Crotone U19
2 : 3
Pescara U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como U19 30 18 7 5 58:31 61
2 Lecco U19 30 18 6 6 65:50 60
3 Modena U19 30 16 7 7 55:38 55
4 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 14 5 11 58:59 47
5 Reggiana U19 30 13 7 10 58:44 46
6 Pro Vercelli U19 30 14 4 12 44:46 46
7 Entella U19 30 10 13 7 47:38 43
8 Sampdoria U19 30 12 5 13 57:48 41
9 Vicenza U19 30 10 8 12 45:53 38
10 Sudtirol U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Udinese U19 30 9 9 12 53:50 36
12 Cittadella U19 30 9 9 12 42:49 36
13 Renate U19 30 7 12 11 34:44 33
14 Union Brescia U19 30 9 3 18 31:46 30
15 Venezia U19 30 6 8 16 32:63 26
16 Padova U19 30 6 7 17 34:53 25
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Empoli U19 30 23 5 2 74:19 74
2 Perugia U19 30 16 7 7 47:27 55
3 Pescara U19 30 15 7 8 51:37 52
4 Avellino U19 30 13 12 5 54:36 51
5 Pisa U19 30 13 9 8 54:41 48
6 Spezia U19 30 15 3 12 55:43 48
7 Catanzaro U19 30 14 6 10 42:35 48
8 Benevento U19 30 13 5 12 42:50 44
9 Ternana U19 30 11 9 10 51:54 42
10 Monopoli U19 30 10 7 13 39:50 37
11 Bari U19 30 9 8 13 42:42 35
12 Ascoli U19 30 8 9 13 47:50 33
13 Palermo U19 30 5 12 13 35:43 27
14 Cosenza U19 30 6 9 15 32:62 27
15 Salernitana U19 30 6 6 18 28:62 24
16 Crotone U19 30 1 10 19 20:62 13
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)