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Spezia U19 vs Palermo U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
14' Event
35' Event

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 2 game between Spezia U19 and Palermo U19 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palermo U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Spezia U19
15%
Draws
59%
Palermo U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Palermo U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Spezia U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Spezia U19 Clean Sheet 13%
Palermo U19 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spezia U19 Palermo U19
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 14 7
Draws 7 13
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.65 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Palermo U19
2:3
Jan 24, 2026 Primavera 2
Palermo U19 vs Spezia U19
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Palermo U19
3:1
Apr 19, 2025 Primavera 2
Palermo U19 vs Spezia U19
2:1
Nov 23, 2024 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Palermo U19
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spezia U19 35 / 100
Palermo U19 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spezia U19 Palermo U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palermo U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Palermo U19 let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Spezia U19 found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (34 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Spezia U19 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spezia U19 VS Palermo U19
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spezia U19

(Home)
12 Sept
Spezia U19
2 : 3
Palermo U19
05 Sept
Ascoli U19
1 : 1
Spezia U19
09 May
Pisa U19
2 : 1
Spezia U19
02 May
Spezia U19
2 : 1
Ternana U19
25 Apr
Benevento U19
1 : 0
Spezia U19
Page 1 of 7

Palermo U19

(Away)
12 Sept
Spezia U19
2 : 3
Palermo U19
08 Sept
Palermo U19
3 : 1
Pescara U19
29 Aug
Vicenza U19
0 : 1
Palermo U19
09 May
Palermo U19
0 : 1
Perugia U19
02 May
Avellino U19
3 : 1
Palermo U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Renate U19 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 Vicenza U19 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 Cremonese U19 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
4 Entella U19 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
5 Padova U19 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Mantova U19 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
7 Sampdoria U19 3 1 2 0 7:5 5
8 Modena U19 3 1 1 1 10:8 4
9 Venezia U19 3 1 1 1 7:6 4
10 Union Brescia U19 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
11 Cittadella U19 3 1 0 2 8:10 3
12 Udinese U19 3 1 0 2 5:10 3
13 Sudtirol U19 3 0 2 1 0:3 2
14 Reggiana U19 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
15 Pro Vercelli U19 3 0 1 2 0:6 1
16 Lecco U19 3 0 1 2 1:8 1
Promotion - Primavera 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Perugia U19 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Catanzaro U19 3 3 0 0 11:2 9
3 Avellino U19 3 3 0 0 8:3 9
4 Bari U19 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
5 Palermo U19 3 2 1 0 8:5 7
6 Benevento U19 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
7 Spezia U19 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
8 Monopoli U19 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
9 Pescara U19 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
10 Latina U19 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
11 Pisa U19 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
12 Ascoli U19 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
13 Napoli U19 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
14 Frosinone U19 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
15 Cosenza U19 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
16 Salernitana U19 3 0 0 3 1:14 0
Promotion - Primavera 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Play Out)