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Stadium Background

Spezia U19 vs Palermo U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Primavera 2
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Trentinella M.
14' Event
Bertolino P.
35' Event
Michelotti T.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 2 game between Spezia U19 and Palermo U19 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palermo U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Spezia U19
30%
Draws
42%
Palermo U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Palermo U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Spezia U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Palermo U19 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Spezia U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Palermo U19 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spezia U19 Palermo U19
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 12 9
Draws 5 13
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.58 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Palermo U19
2:3
Jan 24, 2026 Primavera 2
Palermo U19 vs Spezia U19
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Palermo U19
3:1
Apr 19, 2025 Primavera 2
Palermo U19 vs Spezia U19
2:1
Nov 23, 2024 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Palermo U19
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spezia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Trentinella M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Palermo U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bertolino P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schirliu M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spezia U19 22 / 100
Palermo U19 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spezia U19 Palermo U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palermo U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spezia U19 scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Palermo U19 conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Spezia U19 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spezia U19 VS Palermo U19
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Spezia U19

(Home)
07 Nov
Spezia U19
1 : 0
Cosenza U19
01 Nov
Pescara U19
0 : 3
Spezia U19
28 Oct
Napoli U19
2 : 1
Spezia U19
24 Oct
Napoli U19
3 : 1
Spezia U19
17 Oct
Spezia U19
1 : 5
Latina U19
Page 1 of 7

Palermo U19

(Away)
07 Nov
Avellino U19
0 : 0
Palermo U19
31 Oct
Palermo U19
2 : 2
Catanzaro U19
24 Oct
Salernitana U19
1 : 2
Palermo U19
17 Oct
Palermo U19
1 : 0
Perugia U19
10 Oct
Frosinone U19
0 : 0
Palermo U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Renate U19 8 5 3 0 15:7 18
2 Venezia U19 8 5 1 2 15:9 16
3 Sampdoria U19 8 4 3 1 21:11 15
4 Cremonese U19 8 5 0 3 15:9 15
5 Vicenza U19 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
6 Lecco U19 8 4 2 2 10:12 14
7 Entella U19 8 3 3 2 13:10 12
8 Udinese U19 8 4 0 4 15:16 12
9 Padova U19 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
10 Union Brescia U19 8 2 3 3 10:15 9
11 Modena U19 8 2 2 4 14:14 8
12 Mantova U19 8 1 5 2 9:13 8
13 Pro Vercelli U19 8 2 2 4 7:12 8
14 Cittadella U19 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
15 Sudtirol U19 8 0 4 4 6:12 4
16 Reggiana U19 8 0 2 6 2:12 2
Promotion - Primavera 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Catanzaro U19 8 6 2 0 20:7 20
2 Benevento U19 8 6 1 1 21:7 19
3 Perugia U19 8 6 0 2 21:6 18
4 Palermo U19 8 4 4 0 13:8 16
5 Bari U19 8 4 3 1 13:6 15
6 Avellino U19 8 4 1 3 12:11 13
7 Monopoli U19 8 3 3 2 12:9 12
8 Latina U19 8 3 2 3 15:12 11
9 Pescara U19 8 3 2 3 17:17 11
10 Napoli U19 8 2 4 2 10:10 10
11 Spezia U19 8 3 1 4 12:14 10
12 Pisa U19 8 2 1 5 11:14 7
13 Frosinone U19 8 1 2 5 5:20 5
14 Cosenza U19 8 1 1 6 7:19 4
15 Ascoli U19 8 0 3 5 8:18 3
16 Salernitana U19 8 0 2 6 5:24 2
Promotion - Primavera 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Play Out)