Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spezia U19 vs Salernitana U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Amato S.
48' Event
Felici G.
71' Event
Vannucci F.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 2 2025/2026 game between Spezia U19 and Salernitana U19 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spezia U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Spezia U19
15%
Draws
26%
Salernitana U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spezia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Salernitana U19 haven't matched Spezia U19's recent run of results.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Spezia U19 taking it.
  • Regular Primavera 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Spezia U19 Clean Sheet 19%
Salernitana U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spezia U19 Salernitana U19
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.81 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Salernitana U19
4:0
Nov 1, 2025 Primavera 2
Salernitana U19 vs Spezia U19
0:2
Feb 15, 2025 Primavera 2
Salernitana U19 vs Spezia U19
2:1
Dec 14, 2024 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Salernitana U19
2:1
May 4, 2024 Primavera 2
Spezia U19 vs Salernitana U19
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spezia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Amato S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Felici G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Salernitana U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spezia U19 85 / 100
Salernitana U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spezia U19 Salernitana U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spezia U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salernitana U19 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Spezia U19's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Spezia U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spezia U19 VS Salernitana U19
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Spezia U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Pisa U19
0 : 3
Spezia U19
12 Sept
Spezia U19
2 : 3
Palermo U19
05 Sept
Ascoli U19
1 : 1
Spezia U19
09 May
Pisa U19
2 : 1
Spezia U19
02 May
Spezia U19
2 : 1
Ternana U19
Page 1 of 7

Salernitana U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Salernitana U19
0 : 6
Perugia U19
12 Sept
Latina U19
4 : 1
Salernitana U19
05 Sept
Salernitana U19
0 : 4
Bari U19
22 Aug
Udinese U19
3 : 0
Salernitana U19
09 May
Salernitana U19
1 : 0
Avellino U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como U19 30 18 7 5 58:31 61
2 Lecco U19 30 18 6 6 65:50 60
3 Modena U19 30 16 7 7 55:38 55
4 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 14 5 11 58:59 47
5 Reggiana U19 30 13 7 10 58:44 46
6 Pro Vercelli U19 30 14 4 12 44:46 46
7 Entella U19 30 10 13 7 47:38 43
8 Sampdoria U19 30 12 5 13 57:48 41
9 Vicenza U19 30 10 8 12 45:53 38
10 Sudtirol U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Udinese U19 30 9 9 12 53:50 36
12 Cittadella U19 30 9 9 12 42:49 36
13 Renate U19 30 7 12 11 34:44 33
14 Union Brescia U19 30 9 3 18 31:46 30
15 Venezia U19 30 6 8 16 32:63 26
16 Padova U19 30 6 7 17 34:53 25
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Empoli U19 30 23 5 2 74:19 74
2 Perugia U19 30 16 7 7 47:27 55
3 Pescara U19 30 15 7 8 51:37 52
4 Avellino U19 30 13 12 5 54:36 51
5 Pisa U19 30 13 9 8 54:41 48
6 Spezia U19 30 15 3 12 55:43 48
7 Catanzaro U19 30 14 6 10 42:35 48
8 Benevento U19 30 13 5 12 42:50 44
9 Ternana U19 30 11 9 10 51:54 42
10 Monopoli U19 30 10 7 13 39:50 37
11 Bari U19 30 9 8 13 42:42 35
12 Ascoli U19 30 8 9 13 47:50 33
13 Palermo U19 30 5 12 13 35:43 27
14 Cosenza U19 30 6 9 15 32:62 27
15 Salernitana U19 30 6 6 18 28:62 24
16 Crotone U19 30 1 10 19 20:62 13
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)