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Spezia U20 vs Genoa U20

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Primavera - Group A 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primavera - Group A 2012/2013 game between Spezia U20 and Genoa U20 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Spezia U20
30%
Draws
33%
Genoa U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spezia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Genoa U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Spezia U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Genoa U20 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spezia U20 Genoa U20
Matches Played 26 47
Wins 10 18
Draws 5 16
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.04 1.51
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2013 Primavera - Group A
Genoa U20 vs Spezia U20
1:1
Nov 10, 2012 Primavera - Group A
Spezia U20 vs Genoa U20
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spezia U20 36 / 100
Genoa U20 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spezia U20 Genoa U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genoa U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spezia U20 scored in 69% of their last 26 games.

Genoa U20 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 47 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Spezia U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Genoa U20
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Spezia U20

(Home)
21 Apr
Spezia U20
2 : 1
Fiorentina U20
13 Apr
Parma U20
1 : 1
Spezia U20
07 Apr
Spezia U20
2 : 0
Cagliari U20
03 Apr
Genoa U20
1 : 1
Spezia U20
22 Mar
Spezia U20
0 : 4
Siena U20
Page 1 of 6

Genoa U20

(Away)
20 Sept
Genoa U20
3 : 1
Atalanta U20
11 Sept
Parma U20
2 : 1
Genoa U20
05 Sept
Genoa U20
3 : 3
Fiorentina U20
31 Aug
Monza U20
0 : 1
Genoa U20
23 Aug
Genoa U20
0 : 1
Inter U20
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus U20 26 19 4 3 49:19 61
2 Fiorentina U20 26 18 2 6 59:25 56
3 Torino U20 26 15 8 3 40:19 53
4 Genoa U20 26 13 7 6 41:31 46
5 Empoli U20 26 12 5 9 41:37 41
6 Parma U20 26 11 3 12 37:39 36
7 Spezia U20 26 10 5 11 27:38 35
8 Novara U20 26 9 4 13 35:42 31
9 Siena U20 26 8 6 12 30:35 30
10 Pro Vercelli U20 26 9 3 14 26:40 30
11 Sampdoria U20 26 7 7 12 33:32 28
12 Cagliari U20 26 7 5 14 33:42 26
13 Livorno U20 26 6 7 13 36:53 25
14 Grosseto U20 26 3 4 19 25:60 13
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2012/2013 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2012/2013 (Qualification)