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Spezia vs Atalanta U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spezia host Atalanta U23 in the Serie C - Group B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Spezia have averaged 1.75 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Atalanta U23's 1.32 scored and 1.46 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 0.69, favoring Spezia. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Spezia
15%
Draws
24%
Atalanta U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spezia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Spezia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Spezia taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Spezia Clean Sheet 20%
Atalanta U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spezia Atalanta U23
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.75 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spezia 85 / 100
Atalanta U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spezia Atalanta U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spezia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spezia scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Atalanta U23 let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Spezia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Atalanta U23 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Spezia VS Atalanta U23
2.25 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Spezia

(Home)
18 Oct
Ravenna
0 : 1
Spezia
10 Oct
Spezia
2 : 0
Gubbio
04 Oct
Reggiana
0 : 1
Spezia
27 Sept
Pescara
1 : 2
Spezia
21 Sept
Spezia
3 : 1
Vis Pesaro
Page 1 of 6

Atalanta U23

(Away)
18 Oct
Gubbio
0 : 2
Atalanta U23
14 Oct
Latina
2 : 0
Atalanta U23
11 Oct
Sassari Torres
2 : 1
Atalanta U23
20 Sept
Atalanta U23
0 : 2
Ravenna
16 Sept
Sambenedettese
2 : 3
Atalanta U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 10 9 1 0 18:4 28
2 Ravenna 10 6 2 2 16:6 20
3 Grosseto 10 5 4 1 21:13 19
4 Reggiana 10 5 2 3 14:9 17
5 Guidonia 1937 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
6 Livorno 10 4 4 2 15:14 16
7 Perugia 10 5 1 4 14:15 16
8 Pescara 10 4 3 3 13:12 15
9 Sassari Torres 10 4 3 3 11:12 15
10 Latina 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
11 Vado 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
12 Atalanta U23 9 4 0 5 10:13 12
13 Campobasso 10 3 3 4 14:19 12
14 Forli FC 10 2 5 3 16:16 11
15 Pineto 10 2 5 3 8:11 11
16 Ostiamare 10 2 3 5 9:12 9
17 Pianese 10 1 5 4 6:10 8
18 Sambenedettese 10 1 4 5 14:17 7
19 Gubbio 10 2 1 7 10:20 7
20 Vis Pesaro 9 1 1 7 10:20 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)