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Spezia vs Latina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spezia host Latina in the Serie C - Group B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Spezia at 1.75 goals for, 1.29 against; Latina at 1.24 for, 1.07 against. Past meetings favor Spezia slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 30, 2017, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 0.81) point toward Spezia. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Spezia
30%
Draws
20%
Latina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spezia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spezia lately — more wins on the board than Latina.
  • Spezia are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Spezia Clean Sheet 20%
Latina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spezia Latina
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2017 Serie B
Spezia vs Latina
3:2
Sep 4, 2016 Serie B
Latina vs Spezia
0:0
Apr 30, 2016 Serie B
Latina vs Spezia
0:0
Dec 12, 2015 Serie B
Spezia vs Latina
2:1
Mar 21, 2015 Serie B
Latina vs Spezia
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spezia 67 / 100
Latina 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spezia Latina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spezia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spezia's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Spezia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Latina has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Spezia VS Latina
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spezia

(Home)
10 Oct
Spezia
2 : 0
Gubbio
04 Oct
Reggiana
0 : 1
Spezia
27 Sept
Pescara
1 : 2
Spezia
21 Sept
Spezia
3 : 1
Vis Pesaro
16 Sept
Perugia
0 : 3
Spezia
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Latina

(Away)
14 Oct
Latina
2 : 0
Atalanta U23
11 Oct
Sambenedettese
1 : 1
Latina
04 Oct
Latina
1 : 1
Ostiamare
20 Sept
Reggiana
1 : 0
Latina
16 Sept
Latina
1 : 1
Guidonia 1937
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 9 8 1 0 17:4 25
2 Ravenna 9 6 2 1 16:5 20
3 Grosseto 10 5 4 1 21:13 19
4 Reggiana 9 5 2 2 14:7 17
5 Guidonia 1937 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
6 Livorno 10 4 4 2 15:14 16
7 Perugia 10 5 1 4 14:15 16
8 Sassari Torres 10 4 3 3 11:12 15
9 Latina 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
10 Vado 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
11 Pescara 9 3 3 3 11:12 12
12 Campobasso 10 3 3 4 14:19 12
13 Forli FC 10 2 5 3 16:16 11
14 Ostiamare 9 2 3 4 9:10 9
15 Atalanta U23 8 3 0 5 8:13 9
16 Pianese 10 1 5 4 6:10 8
17 Pineto 9 1 5 3 6:11 8
18 Sambenedettese 10 1 4 5 14:17 7
19 Gubbio 9 2 1 6 10:18 7
20 Vis Pesaro 9 1 1 7 10:20 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)