Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spezia vs Reggiana

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Alberto Picco
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Mateju A.
29'
Bellemo A.
40' Event
Novakovich A.
Assist: Girma N.

AI Match Summary

Spezia host Reggiana in the Serie B. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Spezia at 1.88 goals for, 2.38 against; Reggiana at 0.63 for, 1.75 against. Past meetings favor Reggiana slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.50, favoring Spezia. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Spezia
20%
Draws
38%
Reggiana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spezia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Spezia has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Reggiana.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Spezia.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie B provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Spezia Clean Sheet 16%
Reggiana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spezia Reggiana
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Serie B
Spezia vs Reggiana
0:1
Sep 30, 2025 Serie B
Reggiana vs Spezia
1:1
May 4, 2025 Serie B
Reggiana vs Spezia
2:1
Oct 5, 2024 Serie B
Spezia vs Reggiana
1:0
Mar 16, 2024 Serie B
Reggiana vs Spezia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spezia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Reggiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Novakovich A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spezia 41 / 100
Reggiana 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spezia Reggiana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spezia scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Reggiana let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Spezia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Reggiana lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spezia VS Reggiana
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Venezia382410477:3182
2Frosinone382312376:3481
3Monza382210661:3276
4Palermo382012661:3372
5Catanzaro381514962:5159
6Modena3815101349:3655
7Juve Stabia381118944:4551
8Avellino3813101543:5549
9Mantova381371845:5746
10Padova3812101639:4946
11Cesena3812101645:5646
12Carrarese3810141447:5244
13Sampdoria3811111635:4844
14Entella3810121636:5142
15Empoli389141547:5441
16Sudtirol388171338:4841
17Bari3810101838:6040
18Reggiana389101936:5637
19Spezia388111943:5935
20Pescara387141751:6635