Sport Picks
Match Events
69'
69'
Spedalieri J.
79'
79'
Mazzocchi S.
84'
84'
Florenzi A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
15%
5%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spezia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Spezia haven't matched Vado's recent run of results.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Spezia taking it.
- Vado arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Spezia, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Spezia Clean Sheet 20%
Vado Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spezia | Vado |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Spezia vs Vado
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spezia Compare
Top Goalscorer Spedalieri J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mazzocchi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Vado Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spezia 85 / 100
Vado 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spezia Vado
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spezia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Spezia has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Spezia scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Vado has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Spezia VS Vado
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Spezia
(Home) 16 Sept
Perugia
0 : 3 Spezia
12 Sept
Spezia
2 : 0 Livorno
06 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Spezia
02 Sept
Spezia
3 : 0 Vado
29 Aug
Spezia
1 : 0 Campobasso
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Spezia
2 : 0 Livorno
02 Sept
Spezia
3 : 0 Vado
29 Aug
Spezia
1 : 0 Campobasso
16 Aug
Spezia
4 : 1 Sassari Torres
01 May
Spezia
2 : 2 Venezia
Page 1 of 3
Vado
(Away) 16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2 Vado
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1 Campobasso
06 Sept
Reggiana
3 : 1 Vado
02 Sept
Spezia
3 : 0 Vado
28 Aug
Pianese
0 : 0 Vado
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2 Vado
06 Sept
Reggiana
3 : 1 Vado
02 Sept
Spezia
3 : 0 Vado
28 Aug
Pianese
0 : 0 Vado
10 Aug
Sestri Levante
0 : 3 Vado
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Campobasso 2
Cavese 0
Salernitana 1
Scafatese 2
Grosseto 3
Guidonia 1937 0
Latina 2
Ostiamare 1
Vado 2
Inter U23 1
Spezia 4
Sassari Torres 1
Alcione Milano 0
Novara 1
Livorno 3
Reggiana 1
Potenza -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Monopoli 2
Bari 1
Casarano 0
Picerno 2
Barletta 1
Catania -
TBD -
Casertana 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Giugliano 0
Sorrento 1
Crotone 0
Cosenza 2
Foggia 1
Altamura 2
Pescara 0
Sambenedettese 1
Pineto 1
Gubbio 2
Perugia 1
Vis Pesaro 2
Lecco 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 2
Ospitaletto 1
Arzignano 2
AlbinoLeffe 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Treviso 0
Carpi 3
Pianese 2
Pro Vercelli 2
Pergolettese 1
Ravenna -
TBD -
Juventus U23 1
Forli FC 2
Union Brescia -
TBD -
Giana Erminio 2
Folgore Caratese 1
Cittadella 3
Atalanta U23 2
Lumezzane 2
Renate 3
1/16-finals
Campobasso 2
Scafatese 1
Grosseto 1
Latina 4
Vado 0
Spezia 3
Novara 0
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Monopoli 1
Bari 2
Picerno 1
Catania 0
A.C. Savoia 3
Sorrento 1
Cosenza 0
Altamura 3
Sambenedettese 2
Gubbio 5
Vis Pesaro 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 0
Arzignano 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 3
Carpi 2
Pro Vercelli 1
Ravenna 2
Forli FC 1
Union Brescia 5
Giana Erminio 2
Cittadella 4
Renate 1
1/8-finals
Campobasso -
Latina -
Spezia -
Livorno -
Potenza -
Bari -
A.C. Savoia -
Sorrento -
Altamura -
Gubbio -
Desenzano Calvina -
Dolomiti Bellunesi -
Carpi -
Ravenna -
Union Brescia -
Cittadella -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
