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Spezia vs Vado - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie C Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia
Spezia Logo

Spezia

3 - 0
FT
Vado Logo

Vado

Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Spedalieri J.
79' Event
Mazzocchi S.
84' Event
Florenzi A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Spezia
30%
Draws
32%
Vado
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spezia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Vado haven't matched Spezia's recent run of results.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Spezia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Spezia, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Spezia Clean Sheet 20%
Vado Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spezia Vado
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.86 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Spezia vs Vado
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spezia Compare

Top Goalscorer Spedalieri J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mazzocchi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Vado Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spezia 31 / 100
Vado 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spezia Vado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spezia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Spezia scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Spezia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Vado has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Spezia VS Vado
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spezia

(Home)
01 Nov
Spezia
2 : 1
Atalanta U23
28 Oct
Spezia
2 : 1
Livorno
24 Oct
Spezia
1 : 1
Latina
18 Oct
Ravenna
0 : 1
Spezia
10 Oct
Spezia
2 : 0
Gubbio
Page 1 of 6

Vado

(Away)
31 Oct
Vado
2 : 2
Grosseto
23 Oct
Ostiamare
1 : 2
Vado
17 Oct
Vado
2 : 2
Sambenedettese
11 Oct
Perugia
0 : 2
Vado
03 Oct
Vado
1 : 0
Forli FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Campobasso 2
Cavese 0
Salernitana 1
Scafatese 2
Grosseto 3
Guidonia 1937 0
Latina 2
Ostiamare 1
Vado 2
Inter U23 1
Spezia 4
Sassari Torres 1
Alcione Milano 0
Novara 1
Livorno 3
Reggiana 1
Potenza -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Monopoli 2
Bari 1
Casarano 0
Picerno 2
Barletta 1
Catania -
TBD -
Casertana 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Giugliano 0
Sorrento 1
Crotone 0
Cosenza 2
Foggia 1
Altamura 2
Pescara 0
Sambenedettese 1
Pineto 1
Gubbio 2
Perugia 1
Vis Pesaro 2
Lecco 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 2
Ospitaletto 1
Arzignano 2
AlbinoLeffe 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Treviso 0
Carpi 3
Pianese 2
Pro Vercelli 2
Pergolettese 1
Ravenna -
TBD -
Juventus U23 1
Forli FC 2
Union Brescia -
TBD -
Giana Erminio 2
Folgore Caratese 1
Cittadella 3
Atalanta U23 2
Lumezzane 2
Renate 3
1/16-finals
Campobasso 2
Scafatese 1
Grosseto 1
Latina 4
Vado 0
Spezia 3
Novara 0
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Monopoli 1
Bari 2
Picerno 1
Catania 0
A.C. Savoia 3
Sorrento 1
Cosenza 0
Altamura 3
Sambenedettese 2
Gubbio 5
Vis Pesaro 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 0
Arzignano 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 3
Carpi 2
Pro Vercelli 1
Ravenna 2
Forli FC 1
Union Brescia 5
Giana Erminio 2
Cittadella 4
Renate 1
1/8-finals
Campobasso 2
Latina 0
Spezia 2
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Bari 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Sorrento 0
Altamura 1
Gubbio 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 0
Carpi 4
Ravenna 3
Union Brescia 1
Cittadella 2
Quarter-finals
Campobasso -
Spezia -
Potenza -
A.C. Savoia -
Altamura -
Desenzano Calvina -
Carpi -
Cittadella -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -