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Spisska Bela vs Velka Lomnica

Slovakia Slovakia

Slovak Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spisska Bela play Velka Lomnica in the Slovak Cup 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Spisska Bela averaged 1.58 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Velka Lomnica averaged 1.94 goals scored and 3.94 conceded. In past meetings, Spisska Bela won 2, Velka Lomnica won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 19, 2020 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Spisska Bela and 2.25 for Velka Lomnica. This points to a Spisska Bela double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Spisska Bela
15%
Draws
37%
Velka Lomnica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spisska Bela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Spisska Bela picked up more points recently compared to Velka Lomnica.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 2.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 97%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 52%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Spisska Bela Clean Sheet 10%
Velka Lomnica Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 87%
Second Half Goal 92%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spisska Bela Velka Lomnica
Matches Played 12 16
Wins 5 6
Draws 0 0
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.58 1.94
Goals Conceded 2.5 3.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2020 Slovak Cup
Velka Lomnica vs Spisska Bela
0:4
Jul 22, 2017 Slovak Cup
Velka Lomnica vs Spisska Bela
3:2
Jul 24, 2016 Slovak Cup
Spisska Bela vs Velka Lomnica
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spisska Bela 45 / 100
Velka Lomnica 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spisska Bela Velka Lomnica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Spisska Bela or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7%
1.23
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Spisska Bela attacking → ← attacking Velka Lomnica

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spisska Bela scored in 67% of their last 12 games.

Velka Lomnica let in goals in 94% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Spisska Bela went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Velka Lomnica lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 18
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88