Sport Picks

Slovakia

Slovak Cup 2022/2023

Velka Lomnica

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Spissky Stvrtok play Velka Lomnica in the Slovak Cup 2022/2023. Velka Lomnica are favorites here. Recently, Spissky Stvrtok averaged 1 goals scored and 4 conceded. Velka Lomnica averaged 1.94 goals scored and 3.94 conceded. In past meetings, Spissky Stvrtok won 0, Velka Lomnica won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 31, 2022 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.56 for Spissky Stvrtok and 2.81 for Velka Lomnica. This points to a Velka Lomnica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%

Spissky Stvrtok

15%

Draws

69%

Velka Lomnica

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Velka Lomnica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Spissky Stvrtok picked up more points recently compared to Velka Lomnica.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.56 vs 2.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 95%

Over 3.5 Goals 57%

Over 4.5 Goals 29%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Spissky Stvrtok Clean Sheet 10%

Velka Lomnica Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 90%

Second Half Goal 95%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Spissky Stvrtok	Velka Lomnica
Matches Played	3	16
Wins	0	6
Draws	0	0
Losses	3	10
Goals Scored	1	1.94
Goals Conceded	4	3.94
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	4.00	4.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2022 Slovak Cup

Spissky Stvrtok vs Velka Lomnica

Possession: 44% - 51% Cards: 0 - 2

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spissky Stvrtok 16 / 100

Velka Lomnica 64 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Spissky Stvrtok Velka Lomnica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Velka Lomnica Win (2)

Secondary Pick Velka Lomnica & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +100%

12.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +6.4%

1.12

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Spissky Stvrtok attacking → ← attacking Velka Lomnica

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spissky Stvrtok scored in 100% of their last 3 games.

Velka Lomnica let in goals in 94% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Spissky Stvrtok went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Velka Lomnica lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 18

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

4.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.13