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Spjelkavik vs Herd

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Saether M.
54' Event
Tjostheim J.
60' Event
Fjeldstad E.

AI Match Summary

Herd in this Division 3 - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Herd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Spjelkavik
20%
Draws
20%
Herd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spjelkavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Spjelkavik have won more games recently than Herd.
  • Win probability leans Spjelkavik's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Spjelkavik Clean Sheet 10%
Herd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spjelkavik Herd
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.9 1.74
Goals Conceded 2 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Spjelkavik vs Herd
1:3
Oct 5, 2019 Division 3 - Group 1
Herd vs Spjelkavik
0:2
Apr 23, 2019 Division 3 - Group 1
Spjelkavik vs Herd
5:0
Oct 27, 2018 Division 3 - Group 1
Herd vs Spjelkavik
1:4
Jul 7, 2018 Division 3 - Group 1
Spjelkavik vs Herd
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spjelkavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Tjostheim J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Herd Compare

Top Goalscorer Saether M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fjeldstad E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spjelkavik 65 / 100
Herd 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spjelkavik Herd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spjelkavik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spjelkavik's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Herd let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Difficult form: Herd registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spjelkavik VS Herd
2 Goals Scored 1.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Spjelkavik

(Home)
26 Sept
Melhus
0 : 1
Spjelkavik
21 Sept
Spjelkavik
0 : 4
Rosenborg 2
14 Sept
Aalesund 2
3 : 2
Spjelkavik
05 Sept
Nardo
4 : 2
Spjelkavik
31 Aug
Spjelkavik
3 : 1
Molde 2
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Herd

(Away)
26 Sept
Herd
0 : 0
FK Kvik
19 Sept
Byasen
6 : 1
Herd
12 Sept
Herd
2 : 2
Orkla
05 Sept
Herd
1 : 4
Melhus
30 Aug
Ntnui
2 : 1
Herd
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