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Spjelkavik vs Tiller

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Televik A.
83' Event
Irving F.
90' Event
Larsen J.

AI Match Summary

Spjelkavik in this Division 3 - Group 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spjelkavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Spjelkavik
15%
Draws
12%
Tiller
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spjelkavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Tiller haven't matched Spjelkavik's recent run of results.
  • Spjelkavik are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
Spjelkavik Clean Sheet 68%
Tiller Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spjelkavik Tiller
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 1
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 25
Goals Scored 2 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.9 3.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Spjelkavik vs Tiller
3:0
May 24, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Tiller vs Spjelkavik
1:4
Oct 30, 2021 Division 3 - Group 5
Spjelkavik vs Tiller
2:0
Oct 31, 2020 Division 3 - Group 5
Spjelkavik vs Tiller
0:0
Sep 26, 2020 Division 3 - Group 5
Tiller vs Spjelkavik
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spjelkavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Televik A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Irving F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Tiller Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spjelkavik 86 / 100
Tiller 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spjelkavik Tiller

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spjelkavik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spjelkavik found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Tiller let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Tiller has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Spjelkavik VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Spjelkavik

(Home)
26 Sept
Melhus
0 : 1
Spjelkavik
21 Sept
Spjelkavik
0 : 4
Rosenborg 2
14 Sept
Aalesund 2
3 : 2
Spjelkavik
05 Sept
Nardo
4 : 2
Spjelkavik
31 Aug
Spjelkavik
3 : 1
Molde 2
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Tiller

(Away)
26 Oct
Byasen
3 : 2
Tiller
18 Oct
Tiller
1 : 1
Surnadal
11 Oct
FK Kvik
4 : 0
Tiller
06 Oct
Tiller
2 : 5
Rosenborg 2
27 Sept
Trygg/Lade
1 : 0
Tiller
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