Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spjelkavik vs Varegg Prediction & H2H Stats

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 2017 game between Spjelkavik and Varegg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Spjelkavik
20%
Draws
52%
Varegg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Varegg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Spjelkavik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Varegg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Spjelkavik Clean Sheet 10%
Varegg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spjelkavik Varegg
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.82 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.04 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Spjelkavik vs Varegg
2:2
Apr 29, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs Spjelkavik
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spjelkavik 10 / 100
Varegg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spjelkavik Varegg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varegg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spjelkavik's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Varegg has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Spjelkavik stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spjelkavik VS Varegg
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Spjelkavik

(Home)
26 Sept
Melhus
0 : 1
Spjelkavik
21 Sept
Spjelkavik
0 : 4
Rosenborg 2
14 Sept
Aalesund 2
3 : 2
Spjelkavik
05 Sept
Nardo
4 : 2
Spjelkavik
31 Aug
Spjelkavik
3 : 1
Molde 2
Page 1 of 6

Varegg

(Away)
03 Oct
Brann 2
1 : 2
Varegg
26 Sept
Varegg
4 : 2
OS TF
19 Sept
Gneist IL
2 : 2
Varegg
12 Sept
Varegg
2 : 0
Sogndal 2
05 Sept
Austevoll
2 : 2
Varegg
Page 1 of 6