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Spjelkavik vs Varegg

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 2017 game between Spjelkavik and Varegg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Spjelkavik
17%
Draws
13%
Varegg
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Spjelkavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Spjelkavik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Spjelkavik taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Spjelkavik Clean Sheet 17%
Varegg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spjelkavik Varegg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 4
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 2.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Spjelkavik vs Varegg
2:2
Apr 29, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs Spjelkavik
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spjelkavik 66 / 100
Varegg 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spjelkavik Varegg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spjelkavik's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Varegg has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Varegg's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Spjelkavik VS Varegg
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spjelkavik

(Home)
27 Jun
Rosenborg 2
2 : 1
Spjelkavik
20 Jun
Spjelkavik
0 : 2
Orkla
13 Jun
Strindheim
2 : 4
Spjelkavik
30 May
Spjelkavik
4 : 0
Byasen
22 May
Molde 2
3 : 1
Spjelkavik
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Varegg

(Away)
28 Jun
Varegg
1 : 1
V. Haugesund
20 Jun
Stord
1 : 1
Varegg
13 Jun
Varegg
0 : 1
Gneist IL
30 May
Djerv 1919
3 : 2
Varegg
16 May
Varegg
0 : 2
Asane 2
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