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Spoje Prague vs Chomutov

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 4. liga - Group B 2025/2026 game between Spoje Prague and Chomutov finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chomutov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Spoje Prague
20%
Draws
48%
Chomutov
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chomutov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Spoje Prague haven't matched Chomutov's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Chomutov's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Spoje Prague Clean Sheet 10%
Chomutov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spoje Prague Chomutov
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 8 4
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.57 2
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 4. liga - Group B
Spoje Prague vs Chomutov
1:4
Sep 20, 2025 4. liga - Group B
Chomutov vs Spoje Prague
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spoje Prague 14 / 100
Chomutov 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spoje Prague Chomutov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chomutov Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spoje Prague scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Chomutov has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Spoje Prague remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Spoje Prague VS Chomutov
2.5 Goals Scored 2.25
2.17 Goals Conceded 1.5
83% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Spoje Prague

(Home)
13 Jun
Louny
3 : 6
Spoje Prague
06 Jun
Spoje Prague
4 : 4
Viktoria Marianske Lazne
31 May
Meteor Prague
2 : 1
Spoje Prague
23 May
Spoje Prague
3 : 2
Usti nad Labem B
16 May
Psary
1 : 1
Spoje Prague
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Chomutov

(Away)
29 Aug
Chomutov
4 : 0
Meteor Prague
21 Aug
Chomutov
5 : 0
Usti nad Labem B
15 Aug
Sokolov
0 : 1
Chomutov
07 Aug
Chomutov
2 : 1
Psary
02 Aug
Karlovy Vary
2 : 1
Chomutov
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