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Spokane Velocity vs AV Alta FC

USA USA

USL League One One Spokane Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Spokane Velocity play AV Alta FC in the USL League One. It looks like a close match. Recently, Spokane Velocity averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. AV Alta FC averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Spokane Velocity won 3, AV Alta FC won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 14, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Spokane Velocity and 1.56 for AV Alta FC. This points to a Spokane Velocity double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Spokane Velocity
23%
Draws
31%
AV Alta FC
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Spokane Velocity

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Spokane Velocity picked up more points recently compared to AV Alta FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Spokane Velocity Clean Sheet 15%
AV Alta FC Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spokane Velocity AV Alta FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 4 10
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs Spokane Velocity
1:0
Apr 8, 2026 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs AV Alta FC
3:1
Aug 10, 2025 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs AV Alta FC
2:0
Jun 8, 2025 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs Spokane Velocity
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs Spokane Velocity
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spokane Velocity Compare

Top Goalscorer Booth A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader John-Brown S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

AV Alta FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lay O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spokane Velocity 44 / 100
AV Alta FC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spokane Velocity AV Alta FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Spokane Velocity or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Spokane Velocity attacking → ← attacking AV Alta FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spokane Velocity scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

AV Alta FC let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Spokane Velocity went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

AV Alta FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 34
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Union Omaha16101525:1831
2Charlotte Independence1493234:1830
3One Knoxville1493226:1230
4AV Alta FC1667323:1825
5Athletic Club Boise1673623:2324
6Fort Wayne1466220:1224
7Forward Madison1372422:1423
8Spokane Velocity1572617:2123
9Portland Hearts of Pine1555524:2420
10Chattanooga Red Wolves1261522:1519
11Corpus Christi FC1646620:2618
12FC Naples1652918:2617
13Sarasota Paradise17521017:2817
14Westchester SC1542923:2314
15Greenville Triumph1241714:2113
16Richmond Kickers1433812:2412
17New York Cosmos13211016:337