Sport Picks
Spokane Velocity vs Forward Madison
USA
USL League One One Spokane Stadium, Spokane, WA 
Match Events
2'
2'
Segbers M.
31'
31'
Margvelashvili G.
Own Goal
64'
64'
Sub
Margvelashvili G. In: Covi I.
Out: Margvelashvili G.
AI Match Summary
Forward Madison in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Forward Madison.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Forward Madison
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Spokane Velocity have won more games recently than Forward Madison.
- Spokane Velocity are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Spokane Velocity Clean Sheet 16%
Forward Madison Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spokane Velocity | Forward Madison |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 2, 2026 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Forward Madison
0:1
Aug 22, 2025 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity
0:1
Jun 15, 2025 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Forward Madison
2:1
Nov 10, 2024 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity
0:1
Sep 21, 2024 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spokane Velocity 36 / 100
Forward Madison 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spokane Velocity Forward Madison
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Spokane Velocity found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Forward Madison has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Spokane Velocity went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Spokane Velocity VS Forward Madison
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Spokane Velocity
(Home) 05 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
1 : 1 Spokane Velocity
29 Aug
Westchester SC
1 : 3 Spokane Velocity
23 Aug
Spokane Velocity
2 : 1 Greenville Triumph
16 Aug
Spokane Velocity
2 : 3 Corpus Christi FC
13 Aug
Spokane Velocity
1 : 2 Colorado Springs
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
Spokane Velocity
2 : 1 Greenville Triumph
16 Aug
Spokane Velocity
2 : 3 Corpus Christi FC
13 Aug
Spokane Velocity
1 : 2 Colorado Springs
26 Jul
Spokane Velocity
3 : 1 Fort Wayne
23 Jul
Spokane Velocity
3 : 0 Charlotte Independence
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Forward Madison
(Away) 12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
06 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
0 : 2 Forward Madison
03 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 One Knoxville
29 Aug
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2 Forward Madison
23 Aug
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
0 : 2 Forward Madison
29 Aug
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2 Forward Madison
16 Aug
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2 Forward Madison
09 Aug
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1 Forward Madison
02 Jul
Spokane Velocity
0 : 1 Forward Madison
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 60:37 | 52 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 45:28 | 52 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 47:25 | 48 |
| 4 | Athletic Club Boise | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 40:34 | 44 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40:27 | 44 |
| 6 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 45:37 | 39 |
| 7 | Spokane Velocity | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 33:28 | 39 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 37:30 | 36 |
| 9 | AV Alta FC | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 34:37 | 32 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi FC | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 29:36 | 30 |
| 11 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 38:45 | 29 |
| 12 | FC Naples | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 27:41 | 27 |
| 13 | Sarasota Paradise | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 27:39 | 27 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 39:42 | 23 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 29:41 | 23 |
| 16 | New York Cosmos | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 31:50 | 22 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22:46 | 20 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
