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Sport Ancash vs Willy Serrato

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sport Ancash in this Segunda Division 2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sport Ancash.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sport Ancash
6%
Draws
4%
Willy Serrato
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sport Ancash

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sport Ancash lately — more wins on the board than Willy Serrato.
  • Sport Ancash are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sport Ancash Clean Sheet 15%
Willy Serrato Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Ancash Willy Serrato
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 3
Draws 6 4
Losses 20 25
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 2 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2017 Liga 2
Sport Ancash vs Willy Serrato
3:1
Jul 9, 2017 Liga 2
Willy Serrato vs Sport Ancash
1:0
Nov 20, 2016 Liga 2
Sport Ancash vs Willy Serrato
4:0
Aug 7, 2016 Liga 2
Willy Serrato vs Sport Ancash
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Ancash 84 / 100
Willy Serrato 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Ancash Willy Serrato

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Willy Serrato let in goals in 94% of their last 32 matches.

Difficult form: Willy Serrato registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Sport Ancash found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sport Ancash VS Willy Serrato
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 3.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sport Boys28169354:2357
2Cesar Vallejo28169376:2957
3Hualgayoc28146870:4446
4Union Huaral281431156:5745
5Los Chankas281111642:2744
6Cienciano28138761:4143
7Carlos Mannucci281011753:3841
8Sport Victoria281071136:4437
9Deportivo Coopsol27811845:4635
10Sport Loreto28961339:4833
11Alfredo Salinas277101041:5327
12Willy Serrato28661633:6824
13Los Caimanes28841641:5922
14Defensor La Bocana28931649:7316
15Sport Ancash28361927:7313