Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sport Belem vs Belenense Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sport Belem in this Paraense A3 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sport Belem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sport Belem
20%
Draws
40%
Belenense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Belenense at 2 per game, Sport Belem at 1.67.
  • Sport Belem are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Paraense A3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sport Belem Clean Sheet 19%
Belenense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Belem Belenense
Matches Played 18 15
Wins 8 8
Draws 3 1
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.67 2
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Paraense A3
Belenense vs Sport Belem
3:2
Sep 5, 2026 Paraense A3
Sport Belem vs Belenense
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Belem 85 / 100
Belenense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Belem Belenense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Belem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Sport Belem found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (18 games).

Belenense let in goals in 73% of their last 15 matches.

Sport Belem went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sport Belem VS Belenense
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Belem

(Home)
23 Sept
Sport Belem
3 : 0
CA Vila Rica
16 Sept
Belenense
3 : 2
Sport Belem
13 Sept
CA Vila Rica
0 : 1
Sport Belem
05 Sept
Sport Belem
5 : 1
Belenense
08 Nov
Sport Belem
1 : 1
Gaviao
Page 1 of 4

Belenense

(Away)
20 Sept
CA Vila Rica
2 : 2
Belenense
16 Sept
Belenense
3 : 2
Sport Belem
11 Sept
Belenense
8 : 0
CA Vila Rica
05 Sept
Sport Belem
5 : 1
Belenense
14 Nov
Belenense
2 : 1
Santos PA
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pedreira 4 3 0 1 10:3 9
2 Venus 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 ESMAC 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pinheirense 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
2 Tesla 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
3 Paraense SC 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Belem 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Belenense 4 2 1 1 14:9 7
3 CA Vila Rica 4 0 1 3 2:14 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaviao 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
2 Parauapebas 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
3 Altamira 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)