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Sport Belem vs CA Vila Rica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Paraense A3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paraense A3 game between Sport Belem and CA Vila Rica finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sport Belem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Sport Belem
20%
Draws
10%
CA Vila Rica
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sport Belem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • CA Vila Rica haven't matched Sport Belem's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sport Belem a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paraense A3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Sport Belem Clean Sheet 20%
CA Vila Rica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Belem CA Vila Rica
Matches Played 20 12
Wins 8 0
Draws 4 3
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.55 0.42
Goals Conceded 1.2 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Paraense A3
Sport Belem vs CA Vila Rica
3:0
Sep 13, 2026 Paraense A3
CA Vila Rica vs Sport Belem
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Belem 85 / 100
CA Vila Rica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Belem CA Vila Rica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Belem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Vila Rica has conceded goals in 100% of their last 12 outings.

Sport Belem scored in 70% of their last 20 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sport Belem has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sport Belem VS CA Vila Rica
2.5 Goals Scored 0.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Belem

(Home)
03 Oct
Sport Belem
1 : 1
Parauapebas
27 Sept
Parauapebas
2 : 0
Sport Belem
23 Sept
Sport Belem
3 : 0
CA Vila Rica
16 Sept
Belenense
3 : 2
Sport Belem
13 Sept
CA Vila Rica
0 : 1
Sport Belem
Page 1 of 4

CA Vila Rica

(Away)
23 Sept
Sport Belem
3 : 0
CA Vila Rica
20 Sept
CA Vila Rica
2 : 2
Belenense
13 Sept
CA Vila Rica
0 : 1
Sport Belem
11 Sept
Belenense
8 : 0
CA Vila Rica
18 Oct
Venus
3 : 0
CA Vila Rica
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pedreira 4 3 0 1 10:3 9
2 Venus 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 ESMAC 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pinheirense 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
2 Tesla 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
3 Paraense SC 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Belem 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Belenense 4 2 1 1 14:9 7
3 CA Vila Rica 4 0 1 3 2:14 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaviao 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
2 Parauapebas 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
3 Altamira 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 (Play Offs)