Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sport Belem vs Tesla

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A3 2025
Sport Belem Logo

Sport Belem

3 - 0
FT
Tesla Logo

Tesla

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paraense A3 2025 game between Sport Belem and Tesla finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sport Belem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sport Belem
30%
Draws
23%
Tesla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sport Belem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sport Belem come out ahead of Tesla on wins alone.
  • Sport Belem are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sport Belem Clean Sheet 20%
Tesla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Belem Tesla
Matches Played 18 15
Wins 8 4
Draws 3 3
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.67 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2025 Paraense A3
Tesla vs Sport Belem
2:3
Oct 4, 2025 Paraense A3
Sport Belem vs Tesla
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Belem 85 / 100
Tesla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Belem Tesla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Belem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tesla conceded in 93% of 15 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Sport Belem scored in 72% of their last 18 games.

Recent resilience: Sport Belem stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sport Belem VS Tesla
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Belem

(Home)
23 Sept
Sport Belem
3 : 0
CA Vila Rica
16 Sept
Belenense
3 : 2
Sport Belem
13 Sept
CA Vila Rica
0 : 1
Sport Belem
05 Sept
Sport Belem
5 : 1
Belenense
08 Nov
Sport Belem
1 : 1
Gaviao
Page 1 of 4

Tesla

(Away)
23 Sept
Paraense SC
1 : 3
Tesla
20 Sept
Tesla
2 : 2
Pinheirense
13 Sept
Tesla
0 : 1
Paraense SC
11 Sept
Pinheirense
1 : 1
Tesla
08 Nov
Atletico Paraense
7 : 0
Tesla
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belenense 4 3 0 1 6:3 9
2 Paraense SC 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
3 Pedreira 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos PA 4 2 2 0 6:2 8
2 Venus 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 CA Vila Rica 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Belem 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Tesla 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
3 Tiradentes PA 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paraense 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
2 Gaviao 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
3 Altamira 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - Paraense A3 2025 (Play Offs)