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Sport Boys vs Alianza Atl. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Miguel Grau, Callao
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sport Boys host Alianza Atl. in the Liga 1. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Alianza Atl. have shipped 1.3 goals a game lately, while Sport Boys have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.3. Head-to-head, Sport Boys have won 1 to Alianza Atl.'s 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 27, 2026, ending 2:5. xG projections (1.63 - 1.50) back Alianza Atl. to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sport Boys
15%
Draws
54%
Alianza Atl.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alianza Atl.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Alianza Atl. carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Alianza Atl.'s way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Alianza Atl. here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Sport Boys Clean Sheet 16%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Boys Alianza Atl.
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 17
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.3 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Sport Boys vs Alianza Atl.
2:5
Apr 19, 2026 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Sport Boys
0:1
Nov 16, 2025 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs Alianza Atl.
0:1
Jul 12, 2025 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Sport Boys
1:0
Aug 24, 2024 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Sport Boys
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Boys 23 / 100
Alianza Atl. 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Boys Alianza Atl.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianza Atl. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Boys scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Alianza Atl. let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sport Boys stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sport Boys VS Alianza Atl.
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Boys

(Home)
27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5
Alianza Atl.
20 Sept
FBC Melgar
1 : 1
Sport Boys
13 Sept
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
05 Sept
Sport Huancayo
2 : 1
Sport Boys
30 Aug
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Sporting Cristal
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Alianza Atl.

(Away)
27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5
Alianza Atl.
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1
Comerciantes Unidos
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1
Alianza Atl.
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2
Cajamarca
30 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 4
Alianza Atl.
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso 10 7 1 2 18:6 22
2 Universitario de Deportes 10 6 2 2 19:16 20
3 Sporting Cristal 10 6 1 3 20:10 19
4 Alianza Atl. 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
5 Sport Huancayo 10 6 1 3 16:13 19
6 Juan Pablo II 10 5 3 2 20:12 18
7 FBC Melgar 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
8 Sport Boys 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
9 Cusco 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
10 A. Lima 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
11 Atletico Grau 10 5 1 4 14:13 16
12 FC Cajamarca 10 3 1 6 18:24 10
13 Comerciantes Unidos 10 2 3 5 17:18 9
14 Cienciano 10 2 2 6 12:18 8
15 Los Chankas 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
16 Moquegua 10 1 4 5 7:17 7
17 AD Tarma 10 1 2 7 7:21 5
18 Cajamarca 10 0 2 8 11:24 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)