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Sport Boys vs Alianza Atl. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Copa de la Liga Estadio Miguel Grau, Callao
Sport Boys Logo

Sport Boys

2 - 5
FT
Alianza Atl. Logo

Alianza Atl.

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Davey J.
12' Event
Ingratti J.
28' Event
Suarez R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 2-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Sport Boys
15%
Draws
64%
Alianza Atl.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alianza Atl.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alianza Atl. come out ahead of Sport Boys on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Alianza Atl. taking it.
  • Alianza Atl. arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Alianza Atl., who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Alianza Atl. have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Sport Boys Clean Sheet 11%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Boys Alianza Atl.
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 12 18
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.32 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Alianza Atl. vs Sport Boys
3:0
Sep 27, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Sport Boys vs Alianza Atl.
2:5
Apr 19, 2026 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Sport Boys
0:1
Nov 16, 2025 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs Alianza Atl.
0:1
Jul 12, 2025 Liga 1
Alianza Atl. vs Sport Boys
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Davey J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Alianza Atl. Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ingratti J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Boys 14 / 100
Alianza Atl. 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Boys Alianza Atl.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alianza Atl. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Boys's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Alianza Atl.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sport Boys stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sport Boys VS Alianza Atl.
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Boys

(Home)
06 Oct
Alianza Atl.
3 : 0
Sport Boys
27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5
Alianza Atl.
20 Sept
FBC Melgar
1 : 1
Sport Boys
13 Sept
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
05 Sept
Sport Huancayo
2 : 1
Sport Boys
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Alianza Atl.

(Away)
06 Oct
Alianza Atl.
3 : 0
Sport Boys
27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5
Alianza Atl.
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1
Comerciantes Unidos
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1
Alianza Atl.
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2
Cajamarca
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Alianza Atl. 3
Pirata 2
Cajamarca 4
ADA Jaen 1
Atletico Grau 2
Carlos Mannucci 1
Sport Boys 1
Comerciantes FC 0
Sporting Cristal 2
Tacna Heroica 1
Sport Huancayo 3
Los Chankas 1
Cienciano 2
AD Tarma 3
Moquegua 1
Deportivo Garcilaso 0
Quarter-finals
Alianza Atl. 2
Cajamarca 1
Atletico Grau 2
Sport Boys 3
Sporting Cristal 4
Sport Huancayo 1
AD Tarma 2
Moquegua 0
Semi-finals
Alianza Atl. 8
Sport Boys 2
Sporting Cristal 6
AD Tarma 0
Final
Alianza Atl. -
Sporting Cristal -