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Sport Boys vs FC Cajamarca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Miguel Grau, Callao
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sport Boys host FC Cajamarca in the Liga 1. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Sport Boys at 1.31 goals for, 1.21 against; FC Cajamarca at 1.38 for, 1.83 against. Past meetings favor FC Cajamarca slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.69) point toward Sport Boys. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sport Boys
20%
Draws
51%
FC Cajamarca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Cajamarca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Cajamarca haven't matched Sport Boys's recent run of results.
  • FC Cajamarca are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Sport Boys Clean Sheet 13%
FC Cajamarca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Boys FC Cajamarca
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.31 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Liga 1
FC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Boys 27 / 100
FC Cajamarca 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Boys FC Cajamarca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Cajamarca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cajamarca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Sport Boys scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Sport Boys went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sport Boys VS FC Cajamarca
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Boys

(Home)
11 Oct
Sport Boys
1 : 3
Alianza Atl.
06 Oct
Alianza Atl.
3 : 0
Sport Boys
27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5
Alianza Atl.
20 Sept
FBC Melgar
1 : 1
Sport Boys
13 Sept
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
Page 1 of 6

FC Cajamarca

(Away)
10 Oct
AD Tarma
0 : 0
FC Cajamarca
19 Sept
FC Cajamarca
1 : 2
Cusco
12 Sept
Los Chankas
1 : 2
FC Cajamarca
04 Sept
FC Cajamarca
2 : 5
Cienciano
28 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 3
FC Cajamarca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Cristal 11 7 1 3 21:10 22
2 Deportivo Garcilaso 11 7 1 3 18:7 22
3 Alianza Atl. 11 7 1 3 23:18 22
4 Sport Huancayo 11 7 1 3 17:13 22
5 Universitario de Deportes 11 6 3 2 21:18 21
6 Juan Pablo II 11 5 4 2 21:13 19
7 FBC Melgar 11 5 4 2 18:11 19
8 A. Lima 11 5 4 2 16:11 19
9 Sport Boys 11 5 3 3 15:10 18
10 Cusco 11 6 0 5 20:16 18
11 Atletico Grau 11 5 2 4 14:13 17
12 Cienciano 11 3 2 6 14:18 11
13 FC Cajamarca 11 3 2 6 18:24 11
14 Comerciantes Unidos 11 2 4 5 18:19 10
15 Los Chankas 11 2 3 6 11:24 9
16 Moquegua 11 1 4 6 7:19 7
17 AD Tarma 11 1 3 7 7:21 6
18 Cajamarca 11 0 2 9 11:25 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)