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Sport Boys vs Juan Pablo II

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Miguel Grau
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sport Boys play Juan Pablo II in the Liga 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sport Boys averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Juan Pablo II averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Sport Boys won 1, Juan Pablo II won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 26, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Sport Boys and 0.88 for Juan Pablo II. This points to a Sport Boys double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Sport Boys
29%
Draws
28%
Juan Pablo II
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Sport Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Sport Boys picked up more points recently compared to Juan Pablo II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Sport Boys Clean Sheet 25%
Juan Pablo II Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Boys Juan Pablo II
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.07 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs Juan Pablo II
1:1
Jul 20, 2025 Liga 1
Juan Pablo II vs Sport Boys
3:0
Feb 9, 2025 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs Juan Pablo II
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Mora O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Juan Pablo II Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Boys 44 / 100
Juan Pablo II 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Boys Juan Pablo II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sport Boys or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sport Boys attacking → ← attacking Juan Pablo II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Boys scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Juan Pablo II let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sport Boys went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Juan Pablo II lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 26
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016