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Sport Boys vs Moquegua

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Miguel Grau
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sport Boys play Moquegua in the Liga 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sport Boys averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Moquegua averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Sport Boys won 0, Moquegua won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 1, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Sport Boys and 0.94 for Moquegua. This points to a Moquegua double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Sport Boys
24%
Draws
39%
Moquegua
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Moquegua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Sport Boys picked up more points recently compared to Moquegua.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Sport Boys Clean Sheet 24%
Moquegua Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 58%
Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Boys Moquegua
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs Moquegua
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Boys 38 / 100
Moquegua 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Boys Moquegua

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Moquegua or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sport Boys attacking → ← attacking Moquegua

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport Boys scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Moquegua let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Sport Boys went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Moquegua lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 42
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016