Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sport Boys vs Sporting Cristal

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Miguel Grau, Callao
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Gonzalez S.
28'
Riojas H.
36'
Sub
Lutiger R. In: Diaz L.
Out: Lutiger R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Sport Boys and Sporting Cristal finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sport Boys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Sport Boys
15%
Draws
46%
Sporting Cristal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Cristal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Sporting Cristal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sport Boys are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Sporting Cristal have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sport Boys Clean Sheet 68%
Sporting Cristal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport Boys Sporting Cristal
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 12 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.29 1.61
Goals Conceded 1 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs Sporting Cristal
1:0
Mar 15, 2026 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Sport Boys
3:0
Jul 26, 2025 Liga 1
Sport Boys vs Sporting Cristal
0:2
Feb 16, 2025 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Sport Boys
2:1
Jul 21, 2024 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Sport Boys
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sport Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Campo N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sporting Cristal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport Boys 59 / 100
Sporting Cristal 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport Boys Sporting Cristal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sport Boys Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sport Boys scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Sporting Cristal conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Sport Boys has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sport Boys VS Sporting Cristal
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport Boys

(Home)
20 Sept
FBC Melgar
1 : 1
Sport Boys
13 Sept
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
05 Sept
Sport Huancayo
2 : 1
Sport Boys
30 Aug
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Sporting Cristal
26 Aug
Atletico Grau
2 : 3
Sport Boys
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Cristal

(Away)
19 Sept
Sporting Cristal
3 : 1
Atletico Grau
13 Sept
Moquegua
1 : 2
Sporting Cristal
06 Sept
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0
Los Chankas
30 Aug
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Sporting Cristal
26 Aug
Sporting Cristal
4 : 1
Sport Huancayo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso 10 7 1 2 18:6 22
2 Universitario de Deportes 10 6 2 2 19:16 20
3 Sporting Cristal 10 6 1 3 20:10 19
4 Alianza Atl. 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
5 Sport Huancayo 10 6 1 3 16:13 19
6 Juan Pablo II 10 5 3 2 20:12 18
7 FBC Melgar 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
8 Sport Boys 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
9 Cusco 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
10 A. Lima 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
11 Atletico Grau 10 5 1 4 14:13 16
12 FC Cajamarca 10 3 1 6 18:24 10
13 Comerciantes Unidos 10 2 3 5 17:18 9
14 Cienciano 9 2 1 6 11:17 7
15 Moquegua 10 1 4 5 7:17 7
16 Los Chankas 9 2 1 6 10:23 7
17 AD Tarma 10 1 2 7 7:21 5
18 Cajamarca 10 0 2 8 11:24 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)