Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sport-ES U20 vs Forte U20

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sport-ES U20 play Forte U20 in the Capixaba U20. Forte U20 are favorites here. Recently, Sport-ES U20 averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.84 conceded. Forte U20 averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.84 conceded. In past meetings, Sport-ES U20 won 0, Forte U20 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 13, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Sport-ES U20 and 1.00 for Forte U20. This points to a Forte U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Sport-ES U20
25%
Draws
60%
Forte U20
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Forte U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Sport-ES U20 picked up more points recently compared to Forte U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Sport-ES U20 Clean Sheet 23%
Forte U20 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 84%
Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport-ES U20 Forte U20
Matches Played 25 31
Wins 3 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.4 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.84 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Capixaba U20
Sport-ES U20 vs Forte U20
1:2
Apr 25, 2025 Capixaba U20
Sport-ES U20 vs Forte U20
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport-ES U20 18 / 100
Forte U20 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport-ES U20 Forte U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forte U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Forte U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.37
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sport-ES U20 attacking → ← attacking Forte U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport-ES U20 scored in 80% of their last 25 games.

Forte U20 let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sport-ES U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Forte U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

13 Points in last 5 39
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Porto Vitoria U20870135:821
2Rio Branco ES U20862023:620
3Vilavelhense U20851215:1416
4Forte U20850316:1315
5Tupy U20841319:1013
6Vitoria ES U20830519:209
7Pinheiros U2082157:187
8Sport-ES U20811612:214
9CTE Colatina U2080086:420