Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sport-ES vs Capixaba SC

Brazil Brazil

Copa Espirito Santo
Sat, May 2, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Sport-ES at 1.03 goals for, 1.9 against; Capixaba SC at 0.91 for, 1.27 against. Head-to-head, Sport-ES have won 0 to Capixaba SC's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Capixaba SC to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sport-ES
15%
Draws
57%
Capixaba SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Capixaba SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sport-ES have won more games recently than Capixaba SC.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Sport-ES have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Capixaba SC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Capixaba SC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Sport-ES Clean Sheet 20%
Capixaba SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport-ES Capixaba SC
Matches Played 29 22
Wins 9 8
Draws 2 3
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.03 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Copa Espirito Santo
Sport-ES vs Capixaba SC
0:0
May 24, 2025 Copa Espirito Santo
Sport-ES vs Capixaba SC
1:4
Oct 15, 2024 Capixaba 2
Sport-ES vs Capixaba SC
0:2
Sep 18, 2024 Capixaba 2
Capixaba SC vs Sport-ES
7:0
Apr 29, 2024 Copa Espirito Santo
Capixaba SC vs Sport-ES
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport-ES 32 / 100
Capixaba SC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport-ES Capixaba SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capixaba SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Capixaba SC has conceded goals in 73% of their last 22 outings.

Capixaba SC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Sport-ES scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Sport-ES VS Capixaba SC
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport-ES

(Home)
29 Aug
Sport-ES
0 : 1
Estrela do Norte
22 Aug
Rive
2 : 0
Sport-ES
19 Aug
Tupy
1 : 0
Sport-ES
16 Aug
Sport-ES
4 : 1
Pinheiros
02 Aug
Estrela do Norte
2 : 0
Sport-ES
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Capixaba SC

(Away)
12 Feb
Capixaba SC
0 : 2
Real Noroeste
08 Feb
Desportiva Ferroviaria
0 : 1
Capixaba SC
04 Feb
Capixaba SC
0 : 2
Rio Branco ES
01 Feb
Vitoria ES
2 : 0
Capixaba SC
29 Jan
Capixaba SC
2 : 1
Vilavelhense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Porto Vitoria 7 5 1 1 14:5 16
2 Vitoria ES 7 4 1 2 16:8 13
3 Vilavelhense 7 4 1 2 10:8 13
4 Rio Branco-VN 7 4 1 2 6:4 13
5 Rio Branco ES 7 3 2 2 11:7 11
6 Sport-ES 7 2 0 5 3:13 6
7 Serra 7 1 1 5 6:10 4
8 Audax Sao Mateus 7 1 1 5 2:13 4
Promotion - Copa Espirito Santo (Play Offs)