Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sport-ES vs Estrela do Norte

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Capixaba 2 game between Sport-ES and Estrela do Norte finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estrela do Norte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Sport-ES
15%
Draws
71%
Estrela do Norte
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estrela do Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Estrela do Norte carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Estrela do Norte are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Estrela do Norte have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Sport-ES Clean Sheet 20%
Estrela do Norte Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport-ES Estrela do Norte
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 17
Draws 2 5
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Capixaba 2
Sport-ES vs Estrela do Norte
0:1
Aug 2, 2026 Capixaba 2
Estrela do Norte vs Sport-ES
2:0
Aug 25, 2025 Capixaba 2
Estrela do Norte vs Sport-ES
4:0
Apr 5, 2016 Capixaba
Sport-ES vs Estrela do Norte
3:2
Mar 26, 2016 Capixaba
Estrela do Norte vs Sport-ES
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport-ES 10 / 100
Estrela do Norte 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport-ES Estrela do Norte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estrela do Norte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Sport-ES's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Estrela do Norte has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Sport-ES stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sport-ES VS Estrela do Norte
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport-ES

(Home)
29 Aug
Sport-ES
0 : 1
Estrela do Norte
22 Aug
Rive
2 : 0
Sport-ES
19 Aug
Tupy
1 : 0
Sport-ES
16 Aug
Sport-ES
4 : 1
Pinheiros
02 Aug
Estrela do Norte
2 : 0
Sport-ES
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Estrela do Norte

(Away)
19 Sept
Estrela do Norte
2 : 1
Linhares Futebol Clube
12 Sept
Estrela do Norte
3 : 0
Audax Sao Mateus
06 Sept
Audax Sao Mateus
1 : 2
Estrela do Norte
29 Aug
Sport-ES
0 : 1
Estrela do Norte
22 Aug
Estrela do Norte
4 : 0
Tupy
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linhares Futebol Clube 8 6 0 2 22:2 18
2 Audax Sao Mateus 8 5 1 2 15:5 16
3 GEL 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
4 Doze Futebol Clube 8 3 1 4 8:13 10
5 CTE Colatina 8 0 1 7 1:29 1
Promotion - Capixaba 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estrela do Norte 8 7 1 0 21:1 22
2 Rive 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Tupy 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Sport-ES 8 3 0 5 10:9 9
5 Pinheiros 8 0 0 8 5:27 0
Promotion - Capixaba 2 (Play Offs)