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Sport-ES vs Rive

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba 2
Sun, Jul 26, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sport-ES host Rive in the Capixaba 2. Rive go into this one as the clear favorite. Rive have shipped 0.67 goals a game lately, while Sport-ES have conceded 2.25 and scored 1.13. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Rive. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Sport-ES
11%
Draws
80%
Rive
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Rive

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Sport-ES have won more games recently than Rive.
  • Win probability leans Rive's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Sport-ES Clean Sheet 20%
Rive Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sport-ES Rive
Matches Played 31 2
Wins 11 1
Draws 2 0
Losses 18 1
Goals Scored 1.13 0.67
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sport-ES 12 / 100
Rive 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sport-ES Rive

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sport-ES found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).

Rive has conceded goals in 50% of their last 2 outings.

Sport-ES has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Rive's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sport-ES VS Rive
1.13 Goals Scored 0.67
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.67
100% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sport-ES

(Home)
17 Jul
Pinheiros
0 : 1
Sport-ES
06 Jun
Porto Vitoria
3 : 0
Sport-ES
31 May
Sport-ES
0 : 2
Rio Branco-VN
27 May
Vitoria ES
5 : 0
Sport-ES
20 May
Sport-ES
1 : 0
Rio Branco ES
Page 1 of 7

Rive

(Away)
18 Jul
Tupy
0 : 2
Rive
12 Jul
Rive
0 : 2
Estrela do Norte

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Doze Futebol Clube11003:03
2Linhares Futebol Clube11002:03
3GEL00000:00
4Audax Sao Mateus10010:20
5CTE Colatina10010:30
Promotion - Capixaba 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Estrela do Norte11002:03
2Sport-ES11001:03
3Rive21012:23
4Tupy21011:23
5Pinheiros20020:20
Promotion - Capixaba 2 (Play Offs)